De Graafschap W v Feyenoord W prediction · Eredivisie Women

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

De Graafschap W 1–0 Feyenoord W FEYENOORD W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Feyenoord W win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.689

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Feyenoord W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: De Graafschap W 34%, draw 22%, Feyenoord W 45%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on De Graafschap W v Feyenoord WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

De Graafschap W win34%

Draw22%

Feyenoord W win45%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:45

RoundMatchday 8

VenueDe Vijverberg

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

De Graafschap W

Feyenoord W

14Days since last match14

Last match: 4 Oct · Eredivisie Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	De Graafschap W	7	−2	9
9	Feyenoord W	7	−11	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · feyenoord w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Feyenoord W a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · De Graafschap W v Feyenoord W~~1.46 – 1.74

~~Form · last six in Eredivisie Women this season · since 22 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 9 v 6~~5 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
De Graafschap W win	34%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Feyenoord W win	45%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
De Graafschap W or draw	55%	–	–
De Graafschap W clean sheet	19%	–	–
Feyenoord W clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 4.0 8.0 6.2 3.6 1 6.8 9.6 8.5 4.9 2.2 2 4.5 7.2 6.1 3.5 3 2.2 3.6 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+De Graafschap W down, Feyenoord W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 649 Eredivisie Women matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Eredivisie Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.3% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

De Graafschap W at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 3). Feyenoord W away: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.46 goals for De Graafschap W, 1.74 for Feyenoord W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Eredivisie Women this season · since 22 Aug

DE GRAAFSCHAP W

WLLWLW1–0 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 3–2 · 0–4 · 3–0

FEYENOORD W

LLLWLL1–2 · 0–6 · 0–4 · 3–0 · 2–3 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Twente W	7	+26	21
2	Ajax W	7	+14	18
3	PSV/Eindhoven W	7	+9	13
4	AZ W	7	−7	12
5	De Graafschap W	7	−2	9
6	Heerenveen W	7	−2	8
7	PEC Zwolle W	7	−4	7
8	ADO Den Haag W	7	−13	7
9	Feyenoord W	7	−11	6
10	Utrecht W	7	−10	1