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Ajax W v PSV/Eindhoven W
Ajax W
PSV/Eindhoven WEredivisie Women · SUN 18 OCT · Sportcomplex De Toekomst
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Ajax W just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Ajax W 40%, draw 23%, PSV/Eindhoven W 36%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Ajax W win40%
PSV/Eindhoven W win36%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:15
RoundMatchday 8
VenueSportcomplex De Toekomst
Match timeline
All events
Ajax WMIN
PSV/Eindhoven WEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Ajax W
PSV/Eindhoven W
Last match: 4 Oct · Eredivisie Women
Last match: 4 Oct · Eredivisie Women
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Ajax W a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax W win | 40% | 36% | +4 |
| Draw | 23% | 27% | −4 |
| PSV/Eindhoven W win | 36% | 37% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 54% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 58% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 76% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 34% | −1 |
| Ajax W or draw | 64% | 63% | +1 |
| Ajax W clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| PSV/Eindhoven W clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Eredivisie Women this season · since 22 Aug
AJAX W
PSV/EINDHOVEN W
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twente W | 7 | +26 | 21 |
| 2 | Ajax W | 7 | +14 | 18 |
| 3 | PSV/Eindhoven W | 7 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 | AZ W | 7 | −7 | 12 |
| 5 | De Graafschap W | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 6 | Heerenveen W | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle W | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 8 | ADO Den Haag W | 7 | −13 | 7 |
| 9 | Feyenoord W | 7 | −11 | 6 |
| 10 | Utrecht W | 7 | −10 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Twente W
AZ W
De Graafschap W
Heerenveen W
PEC Zwolle W
ADO Den Haag W
Feyenoord W
Utrecht W