Waalwijk v FC Volendam

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Waalwijk win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Waalwijk was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–21–36
3. 1′KICK-OFF Waalwijk v FC Volendam
4. 4′We said Waalwijk at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–20–57
5. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Waalwijk 0–1 FC Volendam
6. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Waalwijk win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
7. 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' FC Volendam win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Waalwijk win 23%)
8. 5′Reuven Niemeijer scores for FC Volendam on 4′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 23–20–57
9. 23′We said Waalwijk at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–21–59
10. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Alex Plat · FC Volendam
11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.6 we expected. 0–1 · 18–22–60
12. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Daan Huisman · FC Volendam
13. 42′We said Waalwijk at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
14. 45′HALF-TIME Waalwijk 0–1 FC Volendam
15. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Waalwijk win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
16. 46′SECOND HALF Waalwijk 0–1 FC Volendam
17. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC Volendam · On: Deron Payne · Off: Alex Plat
18. 52′11 shots for Waalwijk, 5 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 11–23–66
19. 58′We said Waalwijk at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
20. 58′Waalwijk have had 12 attempts to 5 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 9–23–68
21. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Waalwijk · On: Finn Stokkers · Off: Ryan Fage
22. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Nordin Bukala · FC Volendam
23. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Waalwijk · On: Azzedine Dkidak · Off: Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela
24. 72′We said Waalwijk at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
25. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Waalwijk · On: Yoram van der Veen · Off: Virgil Misidjan
26. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Waalwijk win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
27. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' FC Volendam · On: D. Bisschops · Off: Y. Jaber el Maftahi
28. 80′Waalwijk have had 16 attempts to 8 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 2–14–84
29. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Waalwijk 1–1 FC Volendam
30. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Waalwijk win: 43% at kick-off, 15% now
31. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Draw is now our likeliest result at 72% (was FC Volendam win 13%)
32. 82′81′: Yoram van der Veen on the scoresheet for Waalwijk, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 14–74–12
33. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' FC Volendam · On: Frederik Ihler · Off: Nick Doodeman
34. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Waalwijk · On: Jochem Nap · Off: Tim van de Loo
35. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Waalwijk · On: Nazjir Held · Off: Jesse van de Haar
36. 90′Full time, 1–1. We called Waalwijk at 43% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
37. 92′Waalwijk have had 20 attempts to 8 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 4–92–4
38. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Waalwijk win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
39. FTFULL TIME Waalwijk 1–1 FC Volendam
40. FTWaalwijk 1–1 FC Volendam · Waalwijk win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.