Vitesse v Emmen

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vitesse win at 50%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Vitesse 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–22–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Vitesse v Emmen
4. 23′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Alessandro Hojabrpour · Emmen
5. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Freddy Quispel · Emmen
6. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Vitesse win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
7. 45′HALF-TIME Vitesse 0–0 Emmen
8. 45′SECOND HALF Vitesse 0–0 Emmen
9. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Vitesse · On: Nino Zonneveld · Off: Pontus Dahbo
10. 50′We said Vitesse at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–37–25
11. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.3 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 36–40–24
12. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Vitesse win 38%)
13. 59′We said Vitesse at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–43–23
14. 61′We said Vitesse at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
15. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Vitesse 0–1 Emmen
16. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Vitesse win: 50% at kick-off, 9% now
17. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Emmen win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Draw 45%)
18. 62′61′: Jack Cooper Love on the scoresheet for Emmen, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–24–68
19. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Vitesse · On: Maximilian Brüll · Off: Connor van den Berg
20. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Vitesse · On: Joâo Pinto · Off: Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira
21. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Vitesse · On: Alexander Büttner · Off: Mathijs Marschalk
22. 72′We said Vitesse at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
23. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Emmen · On: Luca Denk · Off: Alessandro Hojabrpour
24. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Emmen · On: Daan Lambers · Off: Sybrand Veldhuis
25. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Emmen · On: Joshua Mukeh · Off: Freddy Quispel
26. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Vitesse · On: Jeredy Hilterman · Off: Xiamaro thenu
27. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Vitesse · On: Eduard·Probst · Off: Marco Schikora
28. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Vitesse win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
29. 96′Emmen ahead on 90′ through Michael Breij. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
30. 96′0–2 at the end. Our 50% on Vitesse misses, and the record keeps it. 0–2 · 0–0–100
31. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Vitesse 0–2 Emmen
32. FTFULL TIME Vitesse 0–2 Emmen
33. FTVitesse 0–2 Emmen · Vitesse win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.