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FC Volendam v Jong Utrecht
FC Volendam
Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie · FRI 23 OCT · Kras Stadion
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Volendam win at 71%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: FC Volendam 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 71–16–14
- 1′KICK-OFF FC Volendam v Jong Utrecht
- 17′We said FC Volendam at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 0–1 · 43–24–33
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' FC Volendam 0–1 Jong Utrecht
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' FC Volendam win: 71% at kick-off, 43% now
- 18′A goal for Jong Utrecht on 17′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 43–24–34
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' FC Volendam win: 71% at kick-off, 41% now
- 25′We said FC Volendam at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–25–36
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.8 we expected. 0–1 · 37–26–37
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' FC Volendam 1–1 Jong Utrecht
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' FC Volendam win: 71% at kick-off, 62% now
- 34′32′: Henk Veerman on the scoresheet for FC Volendam, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 61–24–15
- 39′We said FC Volendam at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 1–1 · 59–26–15
- 39′We said FC Volendam at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–11–4
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' FC Volendam 2–1 Jong Utrecht
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' FC Volendam win: 71% at kick-off, 85% now
- 41′FC Volendam ahead on 39′ through Henk Veerman. 2–1. 2–1 · 85–12–4
- 42′We said FC Volendam at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 3–1 · 96–3–1
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' FC Volendam 3–1 Jong Utrecht
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' FC Volendam win: 71% at kick-off, 96% now
- 43′Henk Veerman scores for FC Volendam on 41′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 96–3–1
- 44′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 96–3–1
- 45′HALF-TIME FC Volendam 3–1 Jong Utrecht
- 45′SECOND HALF FC Volendam 3–1 Jong Utrecht
- 46′5 goals already, more than the 3.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 85–12–3
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Jong Utrecht · On: Driss Laaouina · Off: Jaygo van Ommeren
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' FC Volendam 3–2 Jong Utrecht
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' FC Volendam win: 71% at kick-off, 85% now
- 47′46′: Massien Ghaddari on the scoresheet for Jong Utrecht, making it 3–2. 3–2 · 85–12–3
- 48′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Precious ugwu · FC Volendam
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC Volendam · On: Frederik Ihler · Off: Henk Veerman
- 52′14 shots for Jong Utrecht, 9 the other way, and they still trail 3–2. 3–2 · 85–12–3
- 53′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 97–3–0
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' FC Volendam 4–2 Jong Utrecht
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' FC Volendam win: 71% at kick-off, 97% now
- 55′FC Volendam ahead on 53′ through Frederik Ihler. 4–2. 4–2 · 97–2–0
- 57′16 shots for Jong Utrecht, 11 the other way, and they still trail 4–2. 4–2 · 97–2–0
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' FC Volendam · On: Deron Payne · Off: Nordin Bukala
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' FC Volendam · On: Roy Steur · Off: Hidde Jurjus
- 65′20 shots for Jong Utrecht, 11 the other way, and they still trail 4–2. 4–2 · 98–2–0
- 66′We said FC Volendam at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' FC Volendam 5–2 Jong Utrecht
- 67′7 goals already, more than the 3.8 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 68′Frederik Ihler scores for FC Volendam on 66′ — 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Jong Utrecht · On: tijn boggende den · Off: Jamie Schuldes
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Jong Utrecht · On: Richie Omorowa · Off: Ferdinand Pohl
- 77′24 shots for Jong Utrecht, 14 the other way, and they still trail 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Jong Utrecht · On: Kenji Goes · Off: Emmanuel Chigozie Owen
- 80′That is 8, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 6–2 · 100–0–0
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' FC Volendam · On: D. Bisschops · Off: Precious ugwu
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' FC Volendam 6–2 Jong Utrecht
- 81′80′: Y. Jaber el Maftahi on the scoresheet for FC Volendam, making it 6–2. 6–2 · 100–0–0
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' FC Volendam · On: Kayden Wolff · Off: Y. Jaber el Maftahi
- FTFULL TIME FC Volendam 6–2 Jong Utrecht
- FTFC Volendam 6–2 Jong Utrecht · FC Volendam win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
FC Volendam are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: FC Volendam 71%, draw 15%, Jong Utrecht 14%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
FC Volendam win71%
Jong Utrecht win14%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 19:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueKras Stadion
Match timeline
All events
FC VolendamMIN
Jong UtrechtEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
FC Volendam
4-3-3
Jong Utrecht
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
FC Volendam
Jong Utrecht
Last match: 18 Oct · the Dutch Eerste Divisie
Last match: 19 Oct · the Dutch Eerste Divisie
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
FC Volendam
4-3-3
1 H. Jurjus
18 N. Bukala
25 Luca Blondeau
3 M. Amevor
2 P. Ugwu
8 D. Huisman
10 R. Niemeijer
6 A. Plat
7 N. Doodeman
9 H. Veerman
21 Y. el Maftahi
Coach · E. van de Looi
Substitutes
17 · Miguel Opoku Agyemang
34 · M. Belfqih
5 · Dean Bisschops
67 · F. Ihler
63 · J. Haakmat
12 · D. Payne
11 · Kayden Wolff
16 · R. Steur
29 · Jesper Tielemans
22 · D. Vlak
46 · M. van der Horst
Jong Utrecht
4-2-3-1
1 K. Gadellaa
2 Yousri Sbai
3 J. Schuldes
6 W. Kooy
5 Viggo Plantinga
8 J. van Ommeren
14 F. Pohl
9 E. C. Owen
11 Massien Ghaddari
7 Bjorn Menzo
10 N. Dundas
Coach · Omar Rziki
Substitutes
13 · A. Aslani
12 · Noël Beulens
31 · Justin Eversen
16 · Kenji Goes
15 · Matyas Havelka
18 · D. Laaouina
19 · R. Omorowa
21 · L. Rietveld
32 · M. Tsankov
20 · Tijn den Boggende
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
FC Volendam
4-3-3
1 H. Jurjus
18 N. Bukala
25 Luca Blondeau
3 M. Amevor
2 P. Ugwu
8 D. Huisman
10 R. Niemeijer
6 A. Plat
7 N. Doodeman
9 H. Veerman
21 Y. el Maftahi
Coach · E. van de Looi
Substitutes
17 · Miguel Opoku Agyemang
34 · M. Belfqih
5 · Dean Bisschops
67 · F. Ihler
63 · J. Haakmat
12 · D. Payne
11 · Kayden Wolff
16 · R. Steur
29 · Jesper Tielemans
22 · D. Vlak
46 · M. van der Horst
Jong Utrecht
4-2-3-1
1 K. Gadellaa
2 Yousri Sbai
3 J. Schuldes
6 W. Kooy
5 Viggo Plantinga
8 J. van Ommeren
14 F. Pohl
9 E. C. Owen
11 Massien Ghaddari
7 Bjorn Menzo
10 N. Dundas
Coach · Omar Rziki
Substitutes
13 · A. Aslani
12 · Noël Beulens
31 · Justin Eversen
16 · Kenji Goes
15 · Matyas Havelka
18 · D. Laaouina
19 · R. Omorowa
21 · L. Rietveld
32 · M. Tsankov
20 · Tijn den Boggende
We make FC Volendam a 71% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 15 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.7–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam win | 71% | 56% | +15 |
| Draw | 15% | 22% | −7 |
| Jong Utrecht win | 14% | 22% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 67% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 65% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 85% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52% | 47% | +5 |
| FC Volendam or draw | 86% | 78% | +8 |
| FC Volendam clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Jong Utrecht clean sheet | 7% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Eerste Divisie this season · since 7 Sept
FC VOLENDAM
JONG UTRECHT
The table
2026/27 · Regular season| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 11 | +23 | 28 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 11 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 11 | +12 | 22 |
| 4 | Emmen | 11 | +5 | 22 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 11 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Roda | 11 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 | Vitesse | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 11 | +5 | 16 |
| 9 | MVV | 11 | −11 | 16 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 | Jong AZ | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 12 | Den Bosch | 11 | −3 | 14 |
| 13 | Jong PSV U21 | 11 | −3 | 13 |
| 14 | FC OSS | 11 | −1 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 11 | −8 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 11 | −11 | 11 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 11 | −11 | 11 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 11 | −13 | 11 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 11 | −5 | 9 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | −8 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Heracles
Almere City FC
VVV Venlo
Emmen
NAC Breda
Roda
Vitesse
MVV
Waalwijk
Jong AZ
Den Bosch
Jong PSV U21
FC OSS
FC Eindhoven
Jong Ajax
De Graafschap
Dordrecht
Helmond Sport