FC OSS v Jong Ajax

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC OSS win at 48%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: FC OSS was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–23–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF FC OSS v Jong Ajax
4. 20′9 shots for Jong Ajax, 0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 44–28–28
5. 28′A goal for Jong Ajax on 27′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 18–24–58
6. 28′We said FC OSS at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–24–58
7. 28′⚽ GOAL · 27' FC OSS 0–1 Jong Ajax
8. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' FC OSS win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
9. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Jong Ajax win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was FC OSS win 42%)
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 18–25–58
11. 40′We said FC OSS at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
12. 42′We said FC OSS at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–10–86
13. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' FC OSS 0–2 Jong Ajax
14. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' FC OSS win: 48% at kick-off, 4% now
15. 43′42′: emre unuvar on the scoresheet for Jong Ajax, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 4–10–86
16. 45′HALF-TIME FC OSS 0–2 Jong Ajax
17. 45′SUBSTITUTION FC OSS · On: Siriné Doucouré · Off: Ilounga Pata
18. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC OSS · On: Maxim Mariani · Off: Julian Kuijpers
19. 46′SECOND HALF FC OSS 0–2 Jong Ajax
20. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC OSS · On: Andy Visser · Off: Franslyn Nsingi
21. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC OSS · On: Siriné Doucouré · Off: Ilounga Pata
22. 54′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 10–24–66
23. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' FC OSS 1–2 Jong Ajax
24. 55′FC OSS pull one back on 54′ through Andy Visser. 1–2. 1–2 · 9–24–66
25. 55′We said FC OSS at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–24–66
26. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Jong Ajax · On: Luuk Beekman · Off: Mylo van der Lans
27. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Andy Visser · FC OSS
28. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Levi Acheampong · Jong Ajax
29. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Marcelencio Esajas · FC OSS
30. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' FC OSS · On: Milo Horemans · Off: Maurilio de Lannoy
31. 71′We said FC OSS at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–59–17
32. 71′19 shots for Jong Ajax, 8 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 24–59–17
33. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' FC OSS 2–2 Jong Ajax
34. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' FC OSS win: 48% at kick-off, 24% now
35. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Jong Ajax win 76%)
36. 72′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 23–61–17
37. 72′Maxim Mariani scores for FC OSS on 71′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 23–61–17
38. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Jong Ajax · On: Jeshurun Simeon · Off: Leo Salazar
39. 74′We published FC OSS at 48%. Our model now makes it 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–2
40. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Jong Ajax · On: Jinairo Johnson · Off: Levi Acheampong
41. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' FC OSS 3–2 Jong Ajax
42. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' FC OSS win: 48% at kick-off, 85% now
43. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' FC OSS win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 63%)
44. 75′75′: Andy Visser on the scoresheet for FC OSS, making it 3–2. 3–2 · 85–13–1
45. 75′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 85–13–1
46. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' FC OSS win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
47. 81′We published FC OSS at 48%. Our model now makes it 90%. 3–2 · 90–9–1
48. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' FC OSS · On: Jafar Bynoe · Off: Richard van der Venne
49. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Maxim Mariani · FC OSS
50. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Jong Ajax · On: Abdoulaye Camara · Off: emre unuvar
51. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Jong Ajax · On: Anass Moumane · Off: Pharell Nash
52. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Jong Ajax · On: Paulo Da Silva · Off: Tijn Peters
53. 88′We published FC OSS at 48%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
54. 92′Jong Ajax level it on 90′ through Abdoulaye Camara. 3–3. 3–3 · 4–94–3
55. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' FC OSS 3–3 Jong Ajax · Abdoulaye Camara
56. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' FC OSS win: 48% at kick-off, 4% now
57. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was FC OSS win 97%)
58. 93′Jong Ajax have had 20 attempts to 12 and it is still 3–3. 3–3 · 3–95–2
59. 93′6 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 3–95–2
60. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' FC OSS · On: Lars Mol · Off: Justin Mathieu
61. FTFULL TIME FC OSS 3–3 Jong Ajax
62. FTFC OSS 3–3 Jong Ajax · FC OSS win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.