FC Eindhoven v Jong PSV U21

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Eindhoven win at 45%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: FC Eindhoven was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–22–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF FC Eindhoven v Jong PSV U21
4. 11′We said FC Eindhoven at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–21–56
5. 11′Jong PSV U21 find the net on 10′. 0–1. 0–1 · 22–21–56
6. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' FC Eindhoven 0–1 Jong PSV U21
7. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' FC Eindhoven win: 45% at kick-off, 22% now
8. 11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' Jong PSV U21 win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was FC Eindhoven win 44%)
9. 12′Jong PSV U21 ahead on 11′ through Samuel Dumbili. 0–1. 0–1 · 22–21–57
10. 23′We said FC Eindhoven at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–58
11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 18–23–60
12. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' FC Eindhoven 1–1 Jong PSV U21
13. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' FC Eindhoven win: 45% at kick-off, 40% now
14. 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' FC Eindhoven win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Jong PSV U21 win 60%)
15. 32′Rayan·Buifrahi scores for FC Eindhoven on 31′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 40–29–31
16. 32′7 shots for FC Eindhoven, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 40–29–31
17. 38′FC Eindhoven have had 8 attempts to 2 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 39–31–30
18. 45′HALF-TIME FC Eindhoven 1–1 Jong PSV U21
19. 46′FC Eindhoven have had 12 attempts to 2 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 37–34–29
20. 46′SECOND HALF FC Eindhoven 1–1 Jong PSV U21
21. 50′17 shots for FC Eindhoven, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 35–36–28
22. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' FC Eindhoven win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
23. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was FC Eindhoven win 36%)
24. 55′FC Eindhoven have had 20 attempts to 2 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 34–39–27
25. 56′We said FC Eindhoven at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–40–27
26. 64′We said FC Eindhoven at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–47–24
27. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Xander Blomme · FC Eindhoven
28. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Jong PSV U21 · On: Jairo Beerens · Off: Samuel Dumbili
29. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' FC Eindhoven win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
30. 76′We said FC Eindhoven at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
31. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' FC Eindhoven 1–2 Jong PSV U21
32. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' FC Eindhoven win: 45% at kick-off, 3% now
33. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Jong PSV U21 win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 63%)
34. 77′76′: Austyn Jones on the scoresheet for Jong PSV U21, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 2–17–81
35. 78′FC Eindhoven have had 24 attempts to 5 and it is still 1–2. 1–2 · 2–16–82
36. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Clint Essers · FC Eindhoven
37. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Jong PSV U21 · On: Philip Holseter-Karlsen · Off: Michael Bresser
38. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Siegert Baartmans · FC Eindhoven
39. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' FC Eindhoven · On: tyrese simons · Off: Vicente Besuijen Corrected
40. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' FC Eindhoven · On: Hugo Deenen · Off: Guus Beaumont
41. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' FC Eindhoven · On: Niek Munsters · Off: Xander Blomme Corrected
42. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 76' FC Eindhoven · On: Niek Munsters · Off: Xander Blomme
43. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Tijn Smolenaars · Jong PSV U21
44. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' FC Eindhoven · On: Amir Bryson · Off: Clint Essers
45. FTFULL TIME FC Eindhoven 1–2 Jong PSV U21
46. FTFC Eindhoven 1–2 Jong PSV U21 · FC Eindhoven win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.