Dordrecht v VVV Venlo

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dordrecht win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Dordrecht was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–23–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Dordrecht v VVV Venlo
4. 8′VVV Venlo find the net on 8′. 0–0 · 42–24–33
5. 9′We said Dordrecht at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–21–58
6. 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Dordrecht 0–1 VVV Venlo
7. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' Dordrecht win: 43% at kick-off, 21% now
8. 9′THE CALL SWINGS · 9' VVV Venlo win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Dordrecht win 42%)
9. 15′We said Dordrecht at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–59
10. 17′We said Dordrecht at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 0–2 · 7–12–81
11. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Dordrecht 0–2 VVV Venlo
12. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Dordrecht win: 43% at kick-off, 7% now
13. 18′Eanna Clancy scores for VVV Venlo on 17′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 7–12–81
14. 34′We said Dordrecht at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–3 · 1–3–96
15. 34′33′: Ismail Oulad M'Hand on the scoresheet for VVV Venlo, making it 0–3. 0–3 · 1–3–96
16. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Dordrecht 0–3 VVV Venlo
17. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Dordrecht win: 43% at kick-off, 1% now
18. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Raf Vullers · VVV Venlo
19. 45′HALF-TIME Dordrecht 0–3 VVV Venlo
20. 45′SECOND HALF Dordrecht 0–3 VVV Venlo
21. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Dordrecht · On: Yannis M'Bemba · Off: Senne Vugts
22. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Dordrecht · On: Robin van Asten · Off: nicolas rossi
23. 50′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 0–4 · 0–0–100
24. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Dordrecht 0–4 VVV Venlo
25. 51′VVV Venlo ahead on 50′ through Lars de Blok. 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
26. 56′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 1–4 · 0–1–98
27. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Dordrecht 1–4 VVV Venlo
28. 57′Lorenzo Riccio scores for Dordrecht on 56′ — 1–4. 1–4 · 0–1–98
29. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Beni Christophe Mpanzu · Dordrecht
30. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Dordrecht · On: Lucas Gardenier · Off: Beni Christophe Mpanzu
31. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' VVV Venlo · On: Amir rais · Off: Thomas Janssen
32. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' VVV Venlo · On: Michael Davis · Off: Lars de Blok
33. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Lorenzo Riccio · Dordrecht
34. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Dordrecht · On: Siginho Gerardo · Off: J. de Bie
35. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Ismail Oulad M'Hand · VVV Venlo
36. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' VVV Venlo · On: Luis Gorlich · Off: Raf Vullers
37. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' VVV Venlo · On: Mattheos Tsigkas · Off: L. Schmidt
38. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Dordrecht · On: Rocharnio Lenz · Off: Jurre van Aken
39. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' VVV Venlo · On: Tijn Joosten · Off: Eanna Clancy
40. 90′90′: Rocharnio Lenz on the scoresheet for Dordrecht, making it 2–4. 2–4 · 0–0–100
41. 93′6 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–4 · 0–0–100
42. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Dordrecht 2–4 VVV Venlo
43. FTFULL TIME Dordrecht 2–4 VVV Venlo
44. FTDordrecht 2–4 VVV Venlo · Dordrecht win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.