Den Bosch v MVV

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Den Bosch win at 52%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Den Bosch 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–22–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Den Bosch v MVV
4. 10′We said Den Bosch at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–16–10
5. 10′9′: Sebastian Karlsson Grach on the scoresheet for Den Bosch, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 74–16–10
6. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Den Bosch 1–0 MVV
7. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Den Bosch win: 52% at kick-off, 74% now
8. 22′We said Den Bosch at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–17–9
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 75–17–8
10. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Thijme Verheijen · MVV
11. 45′HALF-TIME Den Bosch 1–0 MVV
12. 46′SECOND HALF Den Bosch 1–0 MVV
13. 54′We said Den Bosch at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–40–22
14. 54′MVV level it on 54′ through Robert Klaasen. 1–1. 1–1 · 38–40–22
15. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Den Bosch 1–1 MVV
16. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Den Bosch win: 52% at kick-off, 38% now
17. 56′Den Bosch have had 9 attempts to 4 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 37–42–22
18. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Den Bosch win 78%)
19. 60′We said Den Bosch at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–45–21
20. 62′Ilias Boumassaoudi scores for Den Bosch on 61′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 80–16–4
21. 62′We said Den Bosch at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
22. 62′⚽ GOAL · 61' Den Bosch 2–1 MVV · Ilias Boumassaoudi
23. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Den Bosch win: 52% at kick-off, 80% now
24. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Den Bosch win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 46%)
25. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Den Bosch win: 52% at kick-off, 82% now
26. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Jeffry Fortes · Den Bosch
27. 74′We said Den Bosch at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
28. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' MVV · On: Delano Asante · Off: Mika Luijendijk
29. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' MVV · On: Naim Matoug · Off: Olivier·Dumont
30. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Den Bosch · On: Wang Bohao · Off: Sebastian Karlsson Grach
31. 79′We said Den Bosch at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 18–71–11
32. 79′Den Bosch have had 15 attempts to 7 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 18–71–11
33. 79′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 18–71–11
34. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Den Bosch 2–2 MVV
35. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Den Bosch win: 52% at kick-off, 18% now
36. 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Draw is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Den Bosch win 88%)
37. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Den Bosch · On: Jack de Vries · Off: Boris van Schuppen
38. 80′78′: Finn Dicke on the scoresheet for MVV, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 17–73–11
39. 81′Den Bosch are down to ten from 80′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–2 · 15–75–10
40. 81′🟥 RED CARD · 80' Pepijn van de Merbel · Den Bosch
41. 82′We said Den Bosch at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–77–9
42. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Den Bosch · On: Finn Murre · Off: Ilias Boumassaoudi
43. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Den Bosch win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
44. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' MVV · On: Onesime Zimuangana · Off: Yael Liesdek
45. 86′We said Den Bosch at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
46. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' MVV · On: Sven Bouland · Off: Milan·Hofland
47. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Den Bosch · On: Lorenzo Hoffman · Off: Devon Findell·De Corte
48. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' MVV · On: Yanis Bourard · Off: Thijme Verheijen
49. 92′We said Den Bosch at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
50. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Den Bosch win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
51. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Sil van der Wegen · MVV
52. FTFULL TIME Den Bosch 2–2 MVV
53. FTDen Bosch 2–2 MVV · Den Bosch win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.