Almere City FC v Roda

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Almere City FC win at 52%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Almere City FC 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–23–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Almere City FC v Roda
4. 4′We said Almere City FC at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–16–10
5. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Almere City FC 1–0 Roda
6. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Almere City FC win: 52% at kick-off, 75% now
7. 5′Almere City FC ahead on 5′ through H. el Dahri. 1–0. 1–0 · 75–16–10
8. 27′Roda have had 7 attempts to 2 and it is still 1–0. 1–0 · 75–17–8
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 76–17–7
10. 33′8 shots for Roda, 2 the other way, and they still trail 1–0. 1–0 · 76–17–7
11. 45′SECOND HALF Almere City FC 1–0 Roda
12. 46′HALF-TIME Almere City FC 1–0 Roda
13. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 33' Roda · On: Jerome Deom · Off: Dyon Dorenbosch
14. 52′We said Almere City FC at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
15. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Almere City FC 2–0 Roda
16. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Almere City FC win: 52% at kick-off, 95% now
17. 53′Jamie Jacobs scores for Almere City FC on 52′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
18. 54′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 79–17–4
19. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Almere City FC 2–1 Roda
20. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Almere City FC win: 52% at kick-off, 79% now
21. 55′54′: Anthony van den Hurk on the scoresheet for Roda, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 79–17–4
22. 58′We said Almere City FC at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–4
23. 58′Roda have had 13 attempts to 8 and it is still 2–1. 2–1 · 80–17–4
24. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Almere City FC · On: Marley Dors · Off: Jamie Jacobs
25. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Almere City FC · On: Emanuel Poku · Off: Jochem Ritmeester Van De Kamp
26. 61′We said Almere City FC at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 2–2 · 33–48–20
27. 61′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 33–48–20
28. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Almere City FC 2–2 Roda
29. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Almere City FC win: 52% at kick-off, 33% now
30. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Almere City FC win 80%)
31. 62′Roda level it on 61′ through Anthony van den Hurk. 2–2. 2–2 · 32–48–19
32. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Almere City FC win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
33. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Almere City FC · On: Job Kalisvaart · Off: Teun Bijleveld
34. 67′We said Almere City FC at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–54–17
35. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Roda · On: Bram Marsman · Off: Mitchel Paulissen
36. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Roda · On: Jeremiah Mensah · Off: Cain Seedorf
37. 73′We said Almere City FC at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–62–15
38. 74′We said Almere City FC at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 2–3 · 3–19–77
39. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Almere City FC 2–3 Roda
40. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Almere City FC win: 52% at kick-off, 3% now
41. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Roda win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 63%)
42. 75′5 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 3–19–78
43. 75′Anthony van den Hurk scores for Roda on 74′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 3–19–78
44. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Almere City FC · On: Byron Burgering · Off: H. el Dahri
45. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Almere City FC win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
46. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Almere City FC · On: Milan de Haan · Off: Mees Hoedemakers
47. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Roda · On: X. van den Berg · Off: Koen Jansen
48. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Roda · On: Luuk Verheij · Off: Joshua Nisbet
49. 93′2–3 at the end. Our 52% on Almere City FC misses, and the record keeps it. 2–3 · 0–0–100
50. FTFULL TIME Almere City FC 2–3 Roda
51. FTAlmere City FC 2–3 Roda · Almere City FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.