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Vvsb v Blauw Geel

Vvsb
0–2Full time
Blauw Geel

Derde Divisie · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02
Vvsb 0–2 Blauw Geel BLAUW GEEL WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Blauw Geel win40%
The market said31%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.555
The market’s Brier score0.731

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Vvsb win38%
Draw23%
Blauw Geel win40%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · blauw geel winPublished 10 Oct 19:09
40% The market31%
Us40%
Market31%

We make Blauw Geel a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 31%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.7.

How the number movedSince we published
20%25%30%35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:1910 OCT 14:22
Our probability · blauw geel win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 31% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Vvsb win38%44%−6
Draw23%25%−2
Blauw Geel win40%31%+9
Over 2.5 goals63%65%−2
Both teams to score64%66%−2
Over 1.5 goals83%83%0
Over 3.5 goals41%45%−4
Vvsb or draw60%69%−9
Vvsb clean sheet20%––
Blauw Geel clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%
0123450 3.9 6.6 5.3 2.9 1 6.4 9.8 8.2 4.6 2 4.9 7.9 6.5 3.6 3 2.7 4.3 3.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Vvsb down, Blauw Geel across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Derde Divisie

VVSB

DLLWLL3–3 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 2–3

BLAUW GEEL

LDWWLD2–3 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Rijnvogels8+1820
2Excelsior '318+1619
3ACV8+1319
4Noordwijk8+1319
5FC Lisse8+819
6VV Scherpenzeel8+619
7SC Genemuiden8+1018
8Excelsior Maassluis8+917
9Harkemase Boys8+417
10TEC8+1116
11Sportlust '468+315
12Sparta Nijkerk8+614
13UDI '198+514
14Purmersteijn8+414
15GOES8−114
16Hoogeveen8+513
17Dongen8+413
18Zwaluwen8−313
19Gemert8−110
20ADO '208−310
21Blauw Geel809
22Roosendaal8−39
23Poortugaal8−59
24Hercules8−89
25UNA8−18
26TOGB8−58
27Vvsb8−67
28Groene Ster8−86
29DVS 33 Ermelo8−55
30Dovo8−105
31Staphorst8−83
32Achilles Veen8−133
33Eemdijk7−173
34EVV8−112
35Hollandia7−101
36SVZW8−171

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.