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Model 1.1

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Roosendaal v Zwaluwen

Roosendaal
2–4Full time
Zwaluwen

Derde Divisie · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:31
Roosendaal 2–4 Zwaluwen ROOSENDAAL WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Roosendaal win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.676

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Roosendaal win43%
Draw23%
Zwaluwen win34%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 18:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · roosendaal winPublished 10 Oct 20:35
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Roosendaal a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Roosendaal win43%––
Draw23%––
Zwaluwen win34%––
Over 2.5 goals60%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals81%––
Over 3.5 goals38%––
Roosendaal or draw66%––
Roosendaal clean sheet24%––
Zwaluwen clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%
0123450 4.5 6.7 4.7 2.3 1 7.6 10.3 7.6 3.7 2 6.1 8.7 6.2 3.1 3 3.4 4.8 3.5 4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Roosendaal down, Zwaluwen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Derde Divisie

ROOSENDAAL

LWLLWL0–1 · 3–0 · 1–3 · 0–5 · 3–1 · 3–4

ZWALUWEN

LWLWWW1–3 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Rijnvogels8+1820
2Excelsior '318+1619
3ACV8+1319
4Noordwijk8+1319
5FC Lisse8+819
6VV Scherpenzeel8+619
7SC Genemuiden8+1018
8Excelsior Maassluis8+917
9Harkemase Boys8+417
10TEC8+1116
11Sportlust '468+315
12Sparta Nijkerk8+614
13UDI '198+514
14Purmersteijn8+414
15GOES8−114
16Hoogeveen8+513
17Dongen8+413
18Zwaluwen8−313
19Gemert8−110
20ADO '208−310
21Blauw Geel809
22Roosendaal8−39
23Poortugaal8−59
24Hercules8−89
25UNA8−18
26TOGB8−58
27Vvsb8−67
28Groene Ster8−86
29DVS 33 Ermelo8−55
30Dovo8−105
31Staphorst8−83
32Achilles Veen8−133
33Eemdijk7−173
34EVV8−112
35Hollandia7−101
36SVZW8−171

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-10 19:34 UTC.