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Harkemase Boys v Hoogeveen

Harkemase Boys
2–1Full time
Hoogeveen

Derde Divisie · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:06
Harkemase Boys 2–1 Hoogeveen HARKEMASE BOYS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Harkemase Boys win56%
The market said53%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.298
The market’s Brier score0.337

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Harkemase Boys win56%
Draw20%
Hoogeveen win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · harkemase boys winPublished 10 Oct 15:43
56% The market53%
Us56%
Market53%

We make Harkemase Boys a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:1910 OCT 11:19
Our probability · harkemase boys win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Harkemase Boys win56%53%+3
Draw20%23%−3
Hoogeveen win25%25%0
Over 2.5 goals70%67%+3
Both teams to score67%67%0
Over 1.5 goals87%85%+3
Over 3.5 goals49%48%+1
Harkemase Boys or draw75%75%0
Harkemase Boys clean sheet25%––
Hoogeveen clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%
0123450 2.6 4.0 2.7 1 6.1 8.1 5.8 2.8 2 6.4 9.0 6.3 3.0 3 4.8 6.6 4.7 2.2 4 2.7 3.7 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Harkemase Boys down, Hoogeveen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting3.25
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsHOO 0–3 HAR · HAR 1–1 HOO · HOO 2–2 HAR · HAR 4–0 HOO

Form · last six in Derde Divisie

HARKEMASE BOYS

WWDWDL5–3 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–4

HOOGEVEEN

LDWLWW1–3 · 2–2 · 4–1 · 0–2 · 5–1 · 5–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Rijnvogels8+1820
2Excelsior '318+1619
3ACV8+1319
4Noordwijk8+1319
5FC Lisse8+819
6VV Scherpenzeel8+619
7SC Genemuiden8+1018
8Excelsior Maassluis8+917
9Harkemase Boys8+417
10TEC8+1116
11Sportlust '468+315
12Sparta Nijkerk8+614
13UDI '198+514
14Purmersteijn8+414
15GOES8−114
16Hoogeveen8+513
17Dongen8+413
18Zwaluwen8−313
19Gemert8−110
20ADO '208−310
21Blauw Geel809
22Roosendaal8−39
23Poortugaal8−59
24Hercules8−89
25UNA8−18
26TOGB8−58
27Vvsb8−67
28Groene Ster8−86
29DVS 33 Ermelo8−55
30Dovo8−105
31Staphorst8−83
32Achilles Veen8−133
33Eemdijk7−173
34EVV8−112
35Hollandia7−101
36SVZW8−171

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-10 14:41 UTC.