Yangon United v Myawady prediction · National League

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · postponed

Yangon United are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Yangon United 82%, draw 12%, Myawady 6%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Yangon United v MyawadyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Yangon United win82%

Draw12%

Myawady win6%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Yangon United

Myawady

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · National League (Myanmar)

Last match: 10 Oct · National League (Myanmar)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Yangon United	3	+5	6
12	Myawady	3	−6	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yangon united winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:10 · postponed, not graded

82% The market–

Us82%

We make Yangon United an 82% chance to win. The model expects 3.1–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Yangon United v Myawady~~3.09 – 0.67

~~Form · National League this season · since 28 Aug~~W2 D0 L1 · W0 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 6 v 1~~4 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Yangon United win

Published at 84%, 82% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Yangon United win	82%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Myawady win	6%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Yangon United or draw	94%	–	–
Yangon United clean sheet	53%	–	–
Myawady clean sheet	5%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.1%

0123450 3.2 1 7.2 5.5 2 11.1 7.1 2.6 3 11.0 6.8 2.4 4 8.5 5.1 5 5.5 3.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Yangon United down, Myawady across0–5 goals a side shown (89.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 615 National League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National League matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2022 in every competition we cover, 3.67 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Yangon United at home: 2.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Myawady away: 0.83 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.09 goals for Yangon United, 0.67 for Myawady. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.67

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~MYA 1–4 YAN · YAN 5–0 MYA · MYA 3–2 YAN · YAN 3–1 MYA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · National League this season · since 28 Aug

YANGON UNITED

WWL2–0 · 5–1 · 1–2

MYAWADY

DLL2–2 · 0–4 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dagon	3	+7	7
2	Shan United	3	+6	7
3	Yadanarbon	3	+3	7
4	Yangon United	3	+5	6
5	Thitsar Arman	4	+1	5
6	Yangon Royals	3	+1	5
7	Sagaing United	3	0	4
8	I.S.P.E	4	−2	4
9	Ayeyawady United	3	−6	3
10	Hantharwady United	3	−4	1
11	GFA	3	−5	1
12	Myawady	3	−6	1