Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › National League › Yangon Royals v Sagaing United

Back
Myanmar flag

Yangon Royals v Sagaing United

Yangon Royals
3–1Full time
Sagaing United

National League · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:41
Yangon Royals 3–1 Sagaing United YANGON ROYALS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Yangon Royals win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.484

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 17 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Yangon Royals win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Yangon Royals 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–23–33
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Yangon Royals v Sagaing United
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Yangon Royals 0–0 Sagaing United
  5. 46′SECOND HALF Yangon Royals 0–0 Sagaing United
  6. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Yangon Royals win 36%)
  7. 55′A goal for Yangon Royals on 54′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–20–7
  8. 55′We said Yangon Royals at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 1–0 · 73–20–7
  9. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Yangon Royals 1–0 Sagaing United
  10. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Yangon Royals win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
  11. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Yangon Royals win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 39%)
  12. 58′Sagaing United score on 58′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 32–42–26
  13. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Yangon Royals 1–1 Sagaing United
  14. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Yangon Royals win: 43% at kick-off, 32% now
  15. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Yangon Royals win 74%)
  16. 59′We said Yangon Royals at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–43–26
  17. 60′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 1–1 · 31–44–25
  18. 63′We said Yangon Royals at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–46–24
  19. 71′We said Yangon Royals at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–55–20
  20. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Yangon Royals win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
  21. 77′We said Yangon Royals at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
  22. 81′Yangon Royals find the net on 81′. 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
  23. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Yangon Royals 2–1 Sagaing United
  24. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Yangon Royals win: 43% at kick-off, 88% now
  25. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Yangon Royals win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 73%)
  26. 83′We said Yangon Royals at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  27. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Yangon Royals win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
  28. 90′We said Yangon Royals at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  29. 94′A goal for Yangon Royals on 90′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  30. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Yangon Royals 3–1 Sagaing United
  31. 95′We said Yangon Royals at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  32. 96′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  33. FTFULL TIME Yangon Royals 3–1 Sagaing United
  34. FTYangon Royals 3–1 Sagaing United · Yangon Royals win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Yangon Royals are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Yangon Royals 43%, draw 23%, Sagaing United 33%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Yangon Royals v Sagaing UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Yangon Royals win43%
Draw23%
Sagaing United win33%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Yangon Royals

Sagaing United

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · National League (Myanmar)

Last match: 18 Oct · National League (Myanmar)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Yangon Royals4+28
8Sagaing United4−24

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yangon royals winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:16 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Yangon Royals a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Yangon Royals v Sagaing United1.83 – 1.57
Form · National League this season · since 30 AugW2 D2 L0 · W1 D1 L2
Table places · points 8 v 42 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 09:38
Our probability · Yangon Royals win

Published at 42%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Yangon Royals win43%––
Draw23%––
Sagaing United win33%––
Over 2.5 goals65%––
Both teams to score65%––
Over 1.5 goals85%––
Over 3.5 goals44%––
Yangon Royals or draw67%––
Yangon Royals clean sheet22%––
Sagaing United clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%
0123450 4.4 4.9 4.3 2.3 1 5.7 10.0 7.2 3.8 2 5.6 8.3 6.4 3.4 3 3.4 5.1 3.9 2.1 4 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Yangon Royals down, Sagaing United across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · National League this season · since 30 Aug

YANGON ROYALS

DDWW2–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–1

SAGAING UNITED

LWDL0–2 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 2–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dagon4+910
2Yangon Royals4+28
3Shan United3+67
4Yadanarbon4+27
5Yangon United3+56
6Thitsar Arman4+15
7I.S.P.E4−24
8Sagaing United4−24
9Hantharwady United4−34
10Ayeyawady United3−63
11GFA4−61
12Myawady3−61

The competition's standings before kick-off.