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Yangon Royals v Sagaing United
Yangon Royals
Sagaing UnitedNational League · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Yangon Royals win at 43%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Yangon Royals 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–23–33
- 1′KICK-OFF Yangon Royals v Sagaing United
- 45′HALF-TIME Yangon Royals 0–0 Sagaing United
- 46′SECOND HALF Yangon Royals 0–0 Sagaing United
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Yangon Royals win 36%)
- 55′A goal for Yangon Royals on 54′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–20–7
- 55′We said Yangon Royals at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 1–0 · 73–20–7
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Yangon Royals 1–0 Sagaing United
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Yangon Royals win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Yangon Royals win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 39%)
- 58′Sagaing United score on 58′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 32–42–26
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Yangon Royals 1–1 Sagaing United
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Yangon Royals win: 43% at kick-off, 32% now
- 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Yangon Royals win 74%)
- 59′We said Yangon Royals at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–43–26
- 60′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 1–1 · 31–44–25
- 63′We said Yangon Royals at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–46–24
- 71′We said Yangon Royals at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–55–20
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Yangon Royals win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
- 77′We said Yangon Royals at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
- 81′Yangon Royals find the net on 81′. 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Yangon Royals 2–1 Sagaing United
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Yangon Royals win: 43% at kick-off, 88% now
- 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Yangon Royals win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 73%)
- 83′We said Yangon Royals at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Yangon Royals win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
- 90′We said Yangon Royals at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 94′A goal for Yangon Royals on 90′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Yangon Royals 3–1 Sagaing United
- 95′We said Yangon Royals at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 96′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Yangon Royals 3–1 Sagaing United
- FTYangon Royals 3–1 Sagaing United · Yangon Royals win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Yangon Royals are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Yangon Royals 43%, draw 23%, Sagaing United 33%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Yangon Royals win43%
Sagaing United win33%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 10:00
RoundMatchday 5
Match timeline
All events
Yangon RoyalsMIN
Sagaing UnitedEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Yangon Royals
Sagaing United
Last match: 17 Oct · National League (Myanmar)
Last match: 18 Oct · National League (Myanmar)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Yangon Royals a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 42%, 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yangon Royals win | 43% | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – |
| Sagaing United win | 33% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 65% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | – | – |
| Yangon Royals or draw | 67% | – | – |
| Yangon Royals clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| Sagaing United clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · National League this season · since 30 Aug
YANGON ROYALS
SAGAING UNITED
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagon | 4 | +9 | 10 |
| 2 | Yangon Royals | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 | Shan United | 3 | +6 | 7 |
| 4 | Yadanarbon | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 5 | Yangon United | 3 | +5 | 6 |
| 6 | Thitsar Arman | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 | I.S.P.E | 4 | −2 | 4 |
| 8 | Sagaing United | 4 | −2 | 4 |
| 9 | Hantharwady United | 4 | −3 | 4 |
| 10 | Ayeyawady United | 3 | −6 | 3 |
| 11 | GFA | 4 | −6 | 1 |
| 12 | Myawady | 3 | −6 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dagon
Shan United
Yadanarbon
Yangon United
Thitsar Arman
I.S.P.E
Hantharwady United
Ayeyawady United
GFA
Myawady