Hantharwady United v Shan United prediction · National League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 13:09

Hantharwady United 0–2 Shan United SHAN UNITED WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Shan United win~~71%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.133

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Hantharwady United win10%

Draw19%

Shan United win71%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 10:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hantharwady United

Shan United

36Days since last match36

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Shan United	2	+4	4
9	Hantharwady United	2	−2	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · shan united winPublished 11 Oct 12:33

71% The market–

Us71%

We make Shan United a 71% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–2.3, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hantharwady United win	10%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Shan United win	71%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Hantharwady United or draw	29%	–	–
Hantharwady United clean sheet	11%	–	–
Shan United clean sheet	49%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 12.6%

0123450 6.1 10.9 12.6 9.4 5.4 2.61 3.1 8.7 8.9 6.6 3.8 2 3.1 3.4 2.5 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hantharwady United down, Shan United across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 612 National League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

National League matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 3.20 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hantharwady United at home: 0.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Shan United away: 3.33 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.74 goals for Hantharwady United, 2.26 for Shan United. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2020

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SHA 1–0 HAN · HAN 0–4 SHA · SHA 4–0 HAN · HAN 0–2 SHA

Form · last six in National League

HANTHARWADY UNITED

LLDLLD0–1 · 0–4 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 2–2

SHAN UNITED

WWWWDW6–0 · 5–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dagon	3	+7	7
2	Yadanarbon	3	+3	7
3	Yangon United	2	+6	6
4	Thitsar Arman	3	+2	5
5	Shan United	2	+4	4
6	Sagaing United	3	0	4
7	Ayeyawady United	3	−6	3
8	Yangon Royals	2	0	2
9	Hantharwady United	2	−2	1
10	I.S.P.E	3	−3	1
11	GFA	3	−5	1
12	Myawady	3	−6	1