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GFA v Yangon Royals

GFA
1–2Full time
Yangon Royals

National League · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 12:44
GFA 1–2 Yangon Royals YANGON ROYALS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Yangon Royals win61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.225

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 21 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Yangon Royals win at 61%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Yangon Royals 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 19–20–61
  3. 1′KICK-OFF GFA v Yangon Royals
  4. 19′A goal for Yangon Royals on 19′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 7–12–81
  5. 19′We said Yangon Royals at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 0–1 · 7–12–81
  6. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' GFA 0–1 Yangon Royals
  7. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Yangon Royals win: 61% at kick-off, 81% now
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.6 we expected. 0–1 · 6–13–80
  9. 45′HALF-TIME GFA 1–1 Yangon Royals
  10. 46′SECOND HALF GFA 1–1 Yangon Royals
  11. 50′GFA score on 45′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 19–34–47
  12. 50′We said Yangon Royals at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 47%. 1–1 · 19–34–47
  13. 50′⚽ GOAL · 45+4' GFA 1–1 Yangon Royals
  14. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+5' Yangon Royals win: 61% at kick-off, 47% now
  15. 56′We said Yangon Royals at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 18–38–44
  16. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Yangon Royals win: 61% at kick-off, 41% now
  17. 63′We said Yangon Royals at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 17–44–39
  18. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Yangon Royals win 39%)
  19. 69′We said Yangon Royals at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 15–50–34
  20. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Yangon Royals win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
  21. 74′We said Yangon Royals at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 13–58–29
  22. 77′Yangon Royals find the net on 77′. 1–2. 1–2 · 1–11–88
  23. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' GFA 1–2 Yangon Royals
  24. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Yangon Royals win: 61% at kick-off, 88% now
  25. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Yangon Royals win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
  26. 78′We said Yangon Royals at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–2 · 1–10–89
  27. 78′We said Yangon Royals at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 11–65–24
  28. 78′GOAL DISALLOWED · 78' Yangon Royals
  29. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Yangon Royals win: 61% at kick-off, 24% now
  30. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Yangon Royals win 24%)
  31. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Yangon Royals win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
  32. 81′We said Yangon Royals at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 9–72–19
  33. 83′Yangon Royals find the net on 83′. 1–2. 1–2 · 0–7–92
  34. 83′We said Yangon Royals at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 1–2 · 0–7–92
  35. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' GFA 1–2 Yangon Royals
  36. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Yangon Royals win: 61% at kick-off, 92% now
  37. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Yangon Royals win is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Draw 7%)
  38. 87′We said Yangon Royals at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
  39. FTFULL TIME GFA 1–2 Yangon Royals
  40. FTGFA 1–2 Yangon Royals · Yangon Royals win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Yangon Royals are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: GFA 19%, draw 20%, Yangon Royals 61%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on GFA v Yangon RoyalsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off

GFA win19%
Draw20%
Yangon Royals win61%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

GFA

Yangon Royals

8Days since last match6

Last match: 9 Oct · National League (Myanmar)

Last match: 11 Oct · National League (Myanmar)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Yangon Royals3+15
11GFA3−51

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yangon royals winFirst published 12 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off
61% The market–
Us61%

We make Yangon Royals a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.4, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · GFA v Yangon Royals1.22 – 2.41
Form · National League this season · since 28 AugW0 D1 L2 · W1 D2 L0
Table places · points 1 v 511 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
GFA win19%––
Draw20%––
Yangon Royals win61%––
Over 2.5 goals68%––
Both teams to score62%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals48%––
GFA or draw39%––
GFA clean sheet11%––
Yangon Royals clean sheet31%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.7%
0123450 4.0 6.3 7.6 5.9 3.6 1 3.1 8.6 8.7 6.6 4.0 2.12 2.3 4.8 5.3 4.0 2.4 3 2.0 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+GFA down, Yangon Royals across0–5 goals a side shown (94.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · National League this season · since 28 Aug

GFA

LLD1–2 · 1–5 · 1–1

YANGON ROYALS

DDW2–2 · 0–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dagon3+77
2Shan United3+67
3Yadanarbon3+37
4Yangon United3+56
5Thitsar Arman4+15
6Yangon Royals3+15
7Sagaing United304
8I.S.P.E4−24
9Ayeyawady United3−63
10Hantharwady United3−41
11GFA3−51
12Myawady3−61

The competition's standings before kick-off.