GFA v Myawady prediction · National League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

GFADrawMyawady

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Myawady 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Myawady are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: GFA 33%, draw 23%, Myawady 44%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on GFA v MyawadyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

GFA win33%

Draw23%

Myawady win44%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

GFA

Myawady

8Days since last match15

Last match: 17 Oct · National League (Myanmar)

Last match: 10 Oct · National League (Myanmar)

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	GFA	4	−6	1
12	Myawady	3	−6	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · myawady winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Myawady a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · GFA v Myawady~~1.58 – 1.87

~~Form · National League this season · since 28 Aug~~W0 D1 L3 · W0 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 1~~11 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
GFA win	33%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Myawady win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
GFA or draw	56%	–	–
GFA clean sheet	17%	–	–
Myawady clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 4.3 5.6 5.6 3.5 1 4.7 9.8 8.3 5.1 2.5 2 4.1 7.1 6.4 4.0 3 2.2 3.8 3.4 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+GFA down, Myawady across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 620 National League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National League matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2022 in every competition we cover, 4.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

GFA at home: 1.00 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Myawady away: 0.83 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.58 goals for GFA, 1.87 for Myawady. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~4.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~4 of 4

~~Last meetings~~MYA 4–1 GFA · GFA 1–1 MYA · MYA 5–1 GFA · GFA 2–4 MYA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · National League this season · since 28 Aug

GFA

LLDL1–2 · 1–5 · 1–1 · 1–2

MYAWADY

DLL2–2 · 0–4 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yangon Royals	5	+4	11
2	Dagon	4	+9	10
3	Yadanarbon	5	+6	10
4	Shan United	3	+6	7
5	Yangon United	3	+5	6
6	Thitsar Arman	4	+1	5
7	I.S.P.E	4	−2	4
8	Hantharwady United	4	−3	4
9	Sagaing United	5	−4	4
10	Ayeyawady United	4	−10	3
11	GFA	4	−6	1
12	Myawady	3	−6	1