Wydad AC v Moghreb Tetouan prediction · Botola Pro

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Wydad ACDrawMoghreb Tetouan

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Wydad AC 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Wydad AC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wydad AC 53%, draw 29%, Moghreb Tetouan 18%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Wydad AC v Moghreb TetouanBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Wydad AC win53%

Draw29%

Moghreb Tetouan win18%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 6

VenueStade Mohamed V

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wydad AC

Moghreb Tetouan

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Botola Pro

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Wydad AC	5	+1	8
14	Moghreb Tetouan	5	−6	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wydad ac winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Wydad AC a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Wydad AC v Moghreb Tetouan~~1.51 – 0.76

~~Form · Botola Pro this season · since 26 Sept~~W2 D2 L1 · W0 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 3~~3 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wydad AC win	53%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Moghreb Tetouan win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Wydad AC or draw	82%	–	–
Wydad AC clean sheet	47%	–	–
Moghreb Tetouan clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.8%

0123450 12.4 6.3 3.1 1 13.8 13.3 4.5 2 11.5 8.6 3.3 3 5.9 4.4 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wydad AC down, Moghreb Tetouan across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,241 Botola Pro matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Botola Pro matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games this season, across 33 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.38 goals a meeting; 2 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Wydad AC at home: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Moghreb Tetouan away: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.51 goals for Wydad AC, 0.76 for Moghreb Tetouan. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.38

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 8

~~Both scored~~1 of 8

~~Last meetings~~MOG 1–0 WYD · MOG 1–2 WYD · WYD 1–0 MOG · WYD 1–0 MOG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola Pro this season · since 26 Sept

WYDAD AC

LWDDW1–3 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0

MOGHREB TETOUAN

DDDLL0–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–4 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CODM Meknès	5	+5	10
2	Kawkab Marrakech	4	+2	9
3	Wydad AC	5	+1	8
4	Hassania Agadir	4	+3	7
5	Ittihad Tanger	4	+2	7
6	Maghreb Fès	4	+1	7
7	UTS Rabat	5	0	7
8	Widad Témara	5	+2	6
9	Difaa EL Jadida	4	0	6
10	Raja Casablanca	3	+1	5
11	FAR Rabat	2	+1	4
12	Amal Tiznit	5	−5	4
13	Renaissance Berkane	3	0	3
14	Moghreb Tetouan	5	−6	3
15	FUS Rabat	4	−2	2
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	4	−5	1