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Wydad AC v Amal Tiznit

Wydad AC
1–1Full time
Amal Tiznit

Botola Pro · SUN 18 OCT · Stade Mohamed V

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 23:30
Wydad AC 1–1 Amal Tiznit WYDAD AC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Wydad AC win51%
The market said60%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.800
The market’s Brier score0.943

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Wydad AC win at 51%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Wydad AC 51% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–29–20
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Wydad AC v Amal Tiznit
  4. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Amal Tiznit
  5. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Wydad AC win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
  6. 45′We said Wydad AC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–41–19
  7. 45′8 shots for Wydad AC, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 39–41–19
  8. 45′SECOND HALF Wydad AC 0–0 Amal Tiznit
  9. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Wydad AC win 38%)
  10. 49′HALF-TIME Wydad AC 0–0 Amal Tiznit
  11. 52′We said Wydad AC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 0–1 · 10–26–64
  12. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Wydad AC 0–1 Amal Tiznit
  13. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Wydad AC win: 51% at kick-off, 10% now
  14. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Amal Tiznit win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Draw 26%)
  15. 55′We said Wydad AC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–65
  16. 60′Amal Tiznit ahead on 53′ through Z. Essalhi. 0–1. 0–1 · 8–24–68
  17. 61′We said Wydad AC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–53–16
  18. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Wydad AC 1–1 Amal Tiznit
  19. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Wydad AC win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
  20. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Amal Tiznit win 16%)
  21. 62′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–1 · 31–54–16
  22. 64′We said Wydad AC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–56–15
  23. 65′A goal for Wydad AC on 62′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 28–57–15
  24. 66′Wydad AC have had 13 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 28–58–15
  25. 71′We said Wydad AC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–64–13
  26. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Wydad AC win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
  27. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Amal Tiznit · On: Tarik Asstati · Off: Hatim Bouhbouh
  28. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Amal Tiznit · On: Mouad Goulous · Off: S. P. Sodiq
  29. 77′We said Wydad AC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–72–10
  30. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Wydad AC · On: Haitam Hamani · Off: Mouad Aounzou
  31. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Wydad AC win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
  32. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Amal Tiznit · On: hussan boulaabar · Off: A. Ouaarab
  33. 89′16 shots for Wydad AC, 8 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 6–91–3
  34. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Amal Tiznit · On: K. Noureddine · Off: ayoub adila
  35. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Amal Tiznit · On: Youssef Anouar · Off: Yassine Zraa
  36. 91′We said Wydad AC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
  37. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Wydad AC · On: Hamza Hannouri · Off: Aymane El Hassouni
  38. FTFULL TIME Wydad AC 1–1 Amal Tiznit
  39. FTWydad AC 1–1 Amal Tiznit · Wydad AC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Wydad AC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wydad AC 51%, draw 29%, Amal Tiznit 20%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Wydad AC v Amal TiznitBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Wydad AC win51%
Draw29%
Amal Tiznit win20%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 21:00

RoundMatchday 4

VenueStade Mohamed V

Line-ups

Wydad AC

4-2-3-1

Amal Tiznit

4-4-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wydad AC

Amal Tiznit

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Botola Pro

Last match: 10 Oct · Botola Pro

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Wydad AC304
14Amal Tiznit3−43

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Wydad AC

4-2-3-1

1 R. Ghanimi

2 M. Moufid

13 S. Moussaddaq Kerboub

25 I. Dayo

14 Y. Attiat-Allah

33 A. Khalloufi

18 Nizar Al Rashdan

23 Oussama Zemraoui

10 Aymane El Hassouni

22 M. Aounzou

15 S. Ganvoula

Coach · Paulo Sérgio

Substitutes

62 · M. Sambou

6 · N. Byar

61 · Driss El Mahdaoui

12 · Abderrazak El Wadi

7 · Haitam Hamani

19 · H. Hannouri

5 · Y. Jabrane

91 · Y. Jabrane

17 · R. Mahtou

Amal Tiznit

4-4-2

22 Y. Faqir

6 H. Bouhbouh

13 J. Assouab

98 O. Houssni

25 A. El Malki

92 Y. Zraa

66 M. Tounkara

14 Ayoub Adila

10 A. Ouaarab

33 Z. Essalhi

36 S. P. Sodiq

Coach · –

Substitutes

8 · K. Noureddine

4 · Koffi holete

99 · M. Goullous

3 · A. El Kouhil

21 · S. El Azhari

55 · Hassan Boulaabar

40 · Tarik Asstati

16 · Y. Anouar

Our number · wydad ac winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 18 Oct 18:17 · locked at kick-off
51% The market60%
Us51%
Market60%

We make Wydad AC a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Wydad AC v Amal Tiznit1.55 – 0.90
Form · Botola Pro this season · since 24 SeptW1 D1 L1 · W1 D0 L2
Table places · points 4 v 310 v 14
The market · Wydad AC win60% · ours 51%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60%65%70% 12 OCT 04:0318 OCT 20:40
Our probability · Wydad AC win The market, margin stripped

Published at 50%, 51% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Wydad AC win51%60%−9
Draw29%25%+4
Amal Tiznit win20%14%+6
Over 2.5 goals44%42%+2
Both teams to score48%41%+7
Over 1.5 goals72%66%+6
Over 3.5 goals23%23%0
Wydad AC or draw80%86%−6
Wydad AC clean sheet41%––
Amal Tiznit clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.6%
0123450 10.7 6.1 3.5 1 11.6 13.6 5.4 2 10.3 9.1 4.1 3 5.4 4.7 2.1 4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Wydad AC down, Amal Tiznit across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola Pro this season · since 24 Sept

WYDAD AC

LWD1–3 · 2–0 · 0–0

AMAL TIZNIT

LWL1–3 · 1–0 · 2–5

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1CODM Meknès4+47
2Hassania Agadir4+37
3Ittihad Tanger4+27
4Maghreb Fès4+17
5UTS Rabat4+17
6Kawkab Marrakech3+16
7Difaa EL Jadida406
8Raja Casablanca3+15
9FAR Rabat2+14
10Wydad AC304
11Widad Témara303
12Renaissance Berkane303
13Moghreb Tetouan4−33
14Amal Tiznit3−43
15FUS Rabat4−22
16CR Khemis Zemamra4−51

The competition's standings before kick-off.