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Widad Témara v Kawkab Marrakech

Widad Témara
0–1Full time
Kawkab Marrakech

Botola Pro · SUN 18 OCT · Yacoub El Mansour Stadium

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 21:31
Widad Témara 0–1 Kawkab Marrakech DRAW · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said a draw35%
The market said33%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.704
The market’s Brier score0.767

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 35%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: the draw was 35% before kick-off and our model makes it 35% now. 0–0 · 34–35–31
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Widad Témara v Kawkab Marrakech
  4. 4′We said the draw at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 14–20–66
  5. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Widad Témara 0–1 Kawkab Marrakech
  6. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 20% now
  7. 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Kawkab Marrakech win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Draw 20%)
  8. 6′Kawkab Marrakech score on 5′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 13–20–66
  9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.0 we expected. 0–1 · 9–21–69
  10. 44′7 shots for Widad Témara, 2 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 7–21–73
  11. 45′SECOND HALF Widad Témara 0–1 Kawkab Marrakech
  12. 46′HALF-TIME Widad Témara 0–1 Kawkab Marrakech
  13. 55′We said the draw at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 5–19–76
  14. 61′Widad Témara have had 10 attempts to 4 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 3–18–79
  15. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Kawkab Marrakech · On: Mohamed Dadsi · Off: haimoud abdallah
  16. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Kawkab Marrakech · On: Oussama hafari · Off: ayoub maamouri al
  17. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Kawkab Marrakech
  18. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 15% now
  19. 71′We said the draw at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 2–14–84
  20. 72′Widad Témara have had 12 attempts to 5 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 2–14–84
  21. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Widad Témara · On: Zakaria Oulbenna · Off: Mouad Gari
  22. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Widad Témara · On: Othman Sabri · Off: Abdallah cherrad
  23. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Widad Témara
  24. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Kawkab Marrakech
  25. 80′We said the draw at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
  26. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Widad Témara · On: Mohamed Assraoui · Off: Zakaria Labib
  27. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Widad Témara · On: Mohamed Babah · Off: Tawfieq ijrouten
  28. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Kawkab Marrakech · On: Abdelkarim Baadi · Off: Nabil Khali
  29. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Kawkab Marrakech · On: Khalil Tamrani · Off: Oussama·Mahrous
  30. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Kawkab Marrakech
  31. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
  32. 88′We said the draw at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 0–4–96
  33. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Widad Témara · On: Ismail Essabah · Off: Oussama Essabri
  34. 94′Full time, 0–1. We called the draw at 35% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–1 · 0–0–100
  35. FTFULL TIME Widad Témara 0–1 Kawkab Marrakech
  36. FTWidad Témara 0–1 Kawkab Marrakech · Draw: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Widad Témara 34%, draw 35%, Kawkab Marrakech 31%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Widad Témara v Kawkab MarrakechBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Widad Témara win34%
Draw35%
Kawkab Marrakech win31%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 4

VenueYacoub El Mansour Stadium

Line-ups

Widad Témara

4-3-3

Kawkab Marrakech

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Widad Témara

Kawkab Marrakech

10Days since last match8

Last match: 8 Oct · Botola Pro

Last match: 10 Oct · Botola Pro

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Kawkab Marrakech3+16
11Widad Témara303

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Widad Témara

4-3-3

33 Rabie Ajlid

18 M. Gari

34 M. Belkaida

20 Nizar Cherki

19 Z. Labib

22 A. Cherrad

99 Rabie Bounnit

88 F. El Kaaba

10 Akram Khouidsi

7 Tawfieq ijrouten

70 Oussama Essabri

Coach · –

Substitutes

11 · Mohamed Assraoui

21 · Mohamed Babah

30 · A. Belcadi

2 · Omar El Birbri

12 · Brahim El Yemlahi

27 · Ibrahima Sagna

8 · Othman Sabri

14 · Ismail Essabah

77 · Zakaria Oulbenna

Kawkab Marrakech

4-2-3-1

67 A. El Ouaad

15 Abdellah Bouallali

14 H. Smaali

20 Mouhcine Rabja

25 N. Khali

5 O. Mahrous

21 Hamza Rafa

11 S. Essallami

13 haimoud abdallah

77 A. Maamouri

19 Jawad rhabra

Coach · Y. Safri

Substitutes

8 · K. Tamrani

22 · A. M'Hamdi

99 · O. Hafari

26 · H. Fassoukh

16 · Mahmoud kayssoumi el

44 · I. Al Alami

4 · mohamed benhita

33 · A. Baadi

88 · Mohamed Dadsi

Our number · drawFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
35% The market33%
Us35%
Market33%

We make the draw a 35% chance. The market has it at 33%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.0–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Widad Témara v Kawkab Marrakech1.04 – 0.99
Form · Botola Pro this season · since 26 SeptW1 D0 L2 · W2 D0 L1
Table places · points 3 v 611 v 6
The market · Draw33% · ours 35%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
20%25%30%35%40% 12 OCT 04:0318 OCT 18:46
Our probability · Draw The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 33% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Widad Témara win34%38%−4
Draw35%33%+2
Kawkab Marrakech win31%29%+2
Over 2.5 goals33%31%+2
Both teams to score42%40%+2
Over 1.5 goals62%58%+4
Over 3.5 goals15%15%0
Widad Témara or draw69%71%−2
Widad Témara clean sheet37%––
Kawkab Marrakech clean sheet36%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.4%
0123450 15.4 11.0 6.4 2.2 1 11.7 15.3 6.6 2.2 2 7.1 6.9 3.4 3 2.5 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Widad Témara down, Kawkab Marrakech across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2020/21
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsKAW 3–1 WID · WID 0–0 KAW

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola Pro this season · since 26 Sept

WIDAD TÉMARA

WLL3–1 · 0–1 · 0–1

KAWKAB MARRAKECH

LWW2–3 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1CODM Meknès4+47
2Hassania Agadir4+37
3Ittihad Tanger4+27
4Maghreb Fès4+17
5UTS Rabat4+17
6Kawkab Marrakech3+16
7Difaa EL Jadida406
8Raja Casablanca3+15
9FAR Rabat2+14
10Wydad AC304
11Widad Témara303
12Renaissance Berkane303
13Moghreb Tetouan4−33
14Amal Tiznit3−43
15FUS Rabat4−22
16CR Khemis Zemamra4−51

The competition's standings before kick-off.