UTS Rabat v Wydad AC prediction · Botola Pro

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 21:41

UTS Rabat 0–1 Wydad AC WYDAD AC WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Wydad AC win~~36%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.607

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 28 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Wydad AC win at 36%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Wydad AC 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 31–33–36
2′KICK-OFF UTS Rabat v Wydad AC
9′Wydad AC score on 9′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 12–19–69
9′⚽ GOAL · 9' UTS Rabat 0–1 Wydad AC
9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Wydad AC win: 36% at kick-off, 69% now
10′We said Wydad AC at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 0–1 · 12–19–69
13′We said Wydad AC at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 11–19–70
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 0–1 · 9–20–71
45′HALF-TIME UTS Rabat 0–1 Wydad AC
45′🟨 YELLOW · 45+4' Wydad AC
45′SUBSTITUTION · 9' UTS Rabat · On: danny · Off: Hamza Regragui
46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' UTS Rabat 1–1 Wydad AC
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Wydad AC win: 36% at kick-off, 29% now
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Wydad AC win 74%)
46′SECOND HALF UTS Rabat 0–1 Wydad AC
48′UTS Rabat find the net on 45′. 1–1. 1–1 · 25–46–29
50′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45+5' UTS Rabat
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+5' Wydad AC win: 36% at kick-off, 75% now
50′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+5' Wydad AC win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 46%)
51′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Wydad AC
51′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Wydad AC
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Wydad AC win: 36% at kick-off, 76% now
64′We said Wydad AC at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
64′SUBSTITUTION · 58' UTS Rabat · On: Ayoub Ajerrar · Off: Omar Arjoune
69′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Wydad AC
74′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Wydad AC · On: Hamza Hannouri · Off: Aymane El Hassouni
74′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Wydad AC · On: Yassine Jabrane · Off: Silvère Ganvoula
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Wydad AC win: 36% at kick-off, 86% now
75′We said Wydad AC at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 0–1 · 1–12–86
75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' UTS Rabat · On: Youssef Mbarek Ait · Off: Anas Nanah
75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' UTS Rabat · On: Youness Akharraz · Off: Saad Lotfi
77′🟨 YELLOW · 75' UTS Rabat
80′We said Wydad AC at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
82′UTS Rabat have had 7 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 0–8–92
87′We said Wydad AC at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
87′8 shots for UTS Rabat, 2 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 0–5–95
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Wydad AC win: 36% at kick-off, 96% now
95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Wydad AC · On: Yahya Jabrane · Off: Nizar Al-Rashdan
95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Wydad AC · On: Haitam Hamani · Off: Oussama Zemraoui
FTFULL TIME UTS Rabat 0–1 Wydad AC
FTUTS Rabat 0–1 Wydad AC · Wydad AC win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Wydad AC just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: UTS Rabat 31%, draw 32%, Wydad AC 36%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on UTS Rabat v Wydad ACBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 16:01 · locked at kick-off

UTS Rabat win31%

Draw32%

Wydad AC win36%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueAl-Fateh Stadium

Line-ups

UTS Rabat

Wydad AC

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

UTS Rabat

Wydad AC

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Botola Pro

Last match: 18 Oct · Botola Pro

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	UTS Rabat	4	+1	7
9	Wydad AC	4	0	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

UTS Rabat

Formation not confirmed

21 R. Ait Lemkadem

1 M. Asmama

15 H. Regragui

3 A. Nanah

20 S. Lotfi

13 Y. Kajai

25 M. Eshabi

22 M. Dahak

32 A. Chakir

18 O. Arjoune

31 W. Rhailouf

Coach · Gugliermo Arena

Substitutes

8 · Youssef Mbarek Ait

27 · Ayoub Ajerrar

2 · Y. Akharraz

16 · Houssam Bouelainine

29 · Abdeljalil Chaynane

26 · I. Douieb

30 · O. Jalfate

35 · Wassim Mellouk

Wydad AC

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Ghanimi

18 Nizar Al Rashdan

14 Y. Attiat-Allah

27 J. Bakasu

25 I. Dayo

10 Aymane El Hassouni

15 S. Ganvoula

33 A. Khalloufi

23 Oussama Zemraoui

2 M. Moufid

13 S. Moussaddaq Kerboub

Coach · N. Nabi

Substitutes

12 · Abderrazak El Wadi

7 · Haitam Hamani

19 · H. Hannouri

5 · Y. Jabrane

91 · Y. Jabrane

3 · H. Janan Allah

32 · S. Cofi

6 · N. Byar

Our number · wydad ac winFirst published 20 Oct 16:01 · locked at kick-off

36% The market–

Us36%

We make Wydad AC a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · UTS Rabat v Wydad AC~~1.08 – 1.18

~~Form · Botola Pro this season · since 26 Sept~~W2 D1 L1 · W1 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 7 v 5~~6 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
UTS Rabat win	31%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Wydad AC win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
UTS Rabat or draw	64%	–	–
UTS Rabat clean sheet	31%	–	–
Wydad AC clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 15.0%

0123450 12.6 10.4 7.3 2.9 1 9.3 15.0 7.7 3.1 2 6.1 7.0 4.1 3 2.2 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+UTS Rabat down, Wydad AC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,238 Botola Pro matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Botola Pro matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.7% of games this season, across 30 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.38 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

UTS Rabat at home: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Wydad AC away: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.08 goals for UTS Rabat, 1.18 for Wydad AC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.38

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~WYD 1–2 UTS · UTS 3–4 WYD · WYD 2–1 UTS · UTS 1–1 WYD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola Pro this season · since 26 Sept

UTS RABAT

WWDL2–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–1

WYDAD AC

LWDD1–3 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kawkab Marrakech	4	+2	9
2	CODM Meknès	4	+4	7
3	Hassania Agadir	4	+3	7
4	Ittihad Tanger	4	+2	7
5	Maghreb Fès	4	+1	7
6	UTS Rabat	4	+1	7
7	Difaa EL Jadida	4	0	6
8	Raja Casablanca	3	+1	5
9	Wydad AC	4	0	5
10	FAR Rabat	2	+1	4
11	Amal Tiznit	4	−4	4
12	Renaissance Berkane	3	0	3
13	Widad Témara	4	−1	3
14	Moghreb Tetouan	4	−3	3
15	FUS Rabat	4	−2	2
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	4	−5	1