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Renaissance Berkane v CR Khemis Zemamra

Renaissance Berkane

2–2Full time

CR Khemis Zemamra

Botola Pro · TUE 13 OCT · Stade Municipal de Berkane

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 21:37

Renaissance Berkane 2–2 CR Khemis Zemamra RENAISSANCE BERKANE WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Renaissance Berkane win~~54%

~~The market said~~57%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.824

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.910

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 30 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Renaissance Berkane win at 54%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Renaissance Berkane 54% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–26–18
1′KICK-OFF Renaissance Berkane v CR Khemis Zemamra
5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Renaissance Berkane 0–1 CR Khemis Zemamra
6′CR Khemis Zemamra find the net on 5′. 0–1. 0–1 · 28–27–45
6′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 6' Renaissance Berkane win: 54% at kick-off, 28% now
6′THE CALL SWINGS · 6' CR Khemis Zemamra win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Renaissance Berkane win 28%)
7′We said Renaissance Berkane at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–1 · 28–27–45
9′We said Renaissance Berkane at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 0–2 · 10–17–73
9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Renaissance Berkane 0–2 CR Khemis Zemamra
9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' Renaissance Berkane win: 54% at kick-off, 10% now
10′A goal for CR Khemis Zemamra on 9′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 10–16–73
10′⚽ GOAL · 9' Renaissance Berkane 0–2 CR Khemis Zemamra
12′Youness moukhlis scores for CR Khemis Zemamra on 8′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 10–16–74
13′We said Renaissance Berkane at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–2 · 9–16–74
38′We said Renaissance Berkane at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–12–84
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Renaissance Berkane win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' CR Khemis Zemamra
45′HALF-TIME Renaissance Berkane 0–2 CR Khemis Zemamra
46′SECOND HALF Renaissance Berkane 0–2 CR Khemis Zemamra
51′8.0 shots for Renaissance Berkane, 3.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–2 · 2–9–89
52′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Renaissance Berkane · On: Haytam Manaout · Off: Oussama Haddadi
57′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 9–26–65
57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Renaissance Berkane 1–2 CR Khemis Zemamra · Youness moukhlis
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Renaissance Berkane win: 54% at kick-off, 9% now
59′56′ and it is 1–2: Renaissance Berkane have scored. 1–2 · 8–26–66
59′⚽ GOAL · 56' Renaissance Berkane 1–2 CR Khemis Zemamra
69′SUBSTITUTION · 65' CR Khemis Zemamra · On: Abdelaziz hamzaoui el · Off: Youness moukhlis Corrected
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Renaissance Berkane win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
73′SUBSTITUTION · 65' CR Khemis Zemamra · On: Mouad Mouzalim · Off: aymen aatga el
73′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Renaissance Berkane · On: Omar El Manssouri · Off: Youssef Mehri
74′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Renaissance Berkane · On: younes kaabi el · Off: Ryan Mendes
76′SUBSTITUTION · 70' CR Khemis Zemamra · On: Amine El Moutaouakil · Off: Anass ghanouj el
79′12.0 shots for Renaissance Berkane, 5.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–2 · 1–14–84
86′SUBSTITUTION · 80' CR Khemis Zemamra · On: bilal soufi · Off: Zakaria Ajoughlal
86′SUBSTITUTION · 81' CR Khemis Zemamra · On: Mouad Rahni · Off: Youness moukhlis
88′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 6–91–3
88′🟨 YELLOW · 85' CR Khemis Zemamra
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Renaissance Berkane 2–2 CR Khemis Zemamra · Jamal Harkass
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Renaissance Berkane win: 54% at kick-off, 6% now
88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 91% (was CR Khemis Zemamra win 3%)
89′Renaissance Berkane find the net on 87′. 2–2. 2–2 · 6–92–3
89′⚽ GOAL · 87' Renaissance Berkane 2–2 CR Khemis Zemamra
90′⚽ GOAL · 87' Renaissance Berkane 2–2 CR Khemis Zemamra · younes kaabi el (assist Haytam Manaout)
FTFULL TIME Renaissance Berkane 2–2 CR Khemis Zemamra
FTRenaissance Berkane 2–2 CR Khemis Zemamra · Renaissance Berkane win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 18:26 · locked at kick-off

Renaissance Berkane win54%

Draw29%

CR Khemis Zemamra win17%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 19:00

VenueStade Municipal de Berkane

Line-ups

Renaissance Berkane

CR Khemis Zemamra

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Renaissance Berkane

CR Khemis Zemamra

5Days since last match5

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Renaissance Berkane	2	0	2
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	3	−5	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Renaissance Berkane

Formation not confirmed

6 Y. Aït Bennasser

1 Munir El Kajoui

11 Y. Mehri

9 O. Lamlaoui

17 Y. Labhiri

27 I. Kandouss

5 J. Harkass

4 O. Haddadi

19 H. El Moussaoui

23 M. Chouiar

10 Ryan Mendes

Coach · Bubista

Substitutes

14 · R. Aabid

21 · Y. El Kaabi

26 · O. El Manssouri

18 · Mohammed Amine Essahel

8 · A. Khairi

15 · A. Lamirat

12 · M. Maftah

20 · H. Manaout

32 · mohamed ouyahia

CR Khemis Zemamra

Formation not confirmed

22 M. Ferni

19 M. Abdouramane

2 J. Ajako

10 Z. Ajoughlal

16 Oussama dahr

14 aymen aatga el

70 O. Elattar

51 A. El Ghannouj

77 J. Essaghir

7 Youness moukhlis

31 M. Kamal

Coach · Mehdi Mrani Alaoui

Substitutes

3 · Ousmane Diallo

17 · A. El Hamzaoui

30 · Amine El Moutaouakil

1 · M. Fakhr

20 · Issam Jaafra

13 · Mouad Mouzalim

18 · Mouad Rahni

4 · B. Soufi

24 · Hassane adamou

Our number · renaissance berkane winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 18:26 · locked at kick-off

54% The market57%

Us54%

~~Market~~57%

We make Renaissance Berkane a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · renaissance berkane win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Renaissance Berkane win	54%	57%	−3
Draw	29%	26%	+3
CR Khemis Zemamra win	17%	17%	0
Over 2.5 goals	40%	43%	−3
Both teams to score	43%	43%	0
Over 1.5 goals	68%	68%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	20%	24%	−3
Renaissance Berkane or draw	83%	83%	0
Renaissance Berkane clean sheet	47%	–	–
CR Khemis Zemamra clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.8%

0123450 12.1 5.9 2.9 1 13.8 13.2 4.4 2 11.8 8.8 3.3 3 6.2 4.5 4 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Renaissance Berkane down, CR Khemis Zemamra across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,231 Botola Pro matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Botola Pro matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Renaissance Berkane at home: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). CR Khemis Zemamra away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.54 goals for Renaissance Berkane, 0.75 for CR Khemis Zemamra. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~REN 1–0 CRK · CRK 1–2 REN · REN 1–0 CRK · CRK 1–3 REN

Form · last six in Botola Pro

RENAISSANCE BERKANE

DLWWDD2–2 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 0–0

CR KHEMIS ZEMAMRA

DDDLLL1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 2–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hassania Agadir	4	+3	7
2	Maghreb Fès	3	+2	7
3	UTS Rabat	3	+2	7
4	Kawkab Marrakech	3	+1	6
5	CODM Meknès	3	+3	4
6	Ittihad Tanger	3	+1	4
7	FAR Rabat	2	+1	4
8	Raja Casablanca	2	+1	4
9	Wydad AC	3	0	4
10	Widad Témara	3	0	3
11	Moghreb Tetouan	3	0	3
12	Difaa EL Jadida	3	−3	3
13	Amal Tiznit	3	−4	3
14	Renaissance Berkane	2	0	2
15	FUS Rabat	3	−2	1
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	3	−5	0