Moghreb Tetouan v Widad Témara prediction · Botola Pro

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Moghreb TetouanDrawWidad Témara

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 21:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Draw 34%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Moghreb Tetouan 32%, draw 34%, Widad Témara 34%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Moghreb Tetouan v Widad TémaraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 16:01 · locked at kick-off

Moghreb Tetouan win32%

Draw34%

Widad Témara win34%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 21:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueStade Saniat Rmel

Line-ups

Moghreb Tetouan

Widad Témara

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Moghreb Tetouan

Widad Témara

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Botola Pro

Last match: 18 Oct · Botola Pro

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Widad Témara	4	−1	3
14	Moghreb Tetouan	4	−3	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Moghreb Tetouan

Formation not confirmed

3 Yassine Aboursas

25 Zakaria Benabbou

11 Anouar oussarhan

2 Achraf marzak

19 Mohamed kassou

5 M. Karmoun

29 Wissam Erbati

31 Nadir El Fadili

15 eddine diae eddaoudi

4 Soulaimane driouache

26 Hicham Zeghari

Coach · A. El Karma

Substitutes

12 · Yassine Amaadour

37 · Ayman Azzouzi

27 · Issam Bouabsidi

21 · Yassin Crachna

17 · Mustapha El Crachna

36 · Mohamed fakih el

6 · Y. Karraz

18 · A. Zerri

Widad Témara

Formation not confirmed

33 Rabie Ajlid

34 M. Belkaida

99 Rabie Bounnit

20 Nizar Cherki

22 A. Cherrad

88 F. El Kaaba

70 Oussama Essabri

9 oussama essafi

77 Zakaria Oulbenna

10 Akram Khouidsi

19 Z. Labib

Coach · –

Substitutes

3 · Reda Bakkouri

12 · Brahim El Yemlahi

18 · M. Gari

7 · Tawfieq ijrouten

17 · Lahcen El Kabiri

8 · Othman Sabri

27 · Ibrahima Sagna

21 · Mohamed Babah

5 · karim mohamed

Our number · drawFirst published 20 Oct 16:01 · locked at kick-off

34% The market–

Us34%

We make the draw a 34% chance. The model expects 1.0–1.0, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Moghreb Tetouan v Widad Témara~~1.00 – 1.04

~~Form · Botola Pro this season · since 26 Sept~~W0 D3 L1 · W1 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 3 v 3~~14 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Moghreb Tetouan win	32%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
Widad Témara win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	33%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
Moghreb Tetouan or draw	66%	–	–
Moghreb Tetouan clean sheet	36%	–	–
Widad Témara clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.3%

0123450 15.3 11.5 7.0 2.5 1 11.0 15.2 6.9 2.4 2 6.5 6.6 3.4 3 2.2 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Moghreb Tetouan down, Widad Témara across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,238 Botola Pro matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Botola Pro matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.7% of games this season, across 30 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Moghreb Tetouan at home: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Widad Témara away: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.00 goals for Moghreb Tetouan, 1.04 for Widad Témara. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~MOG 1–1 WID · WID 1–3 MOG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola Pro this season · since 26 Sept

MOGHREB TETOUAN

DDDL0–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–4

WIDAD TÉMARA

WLLL3–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kawkab Marrakech	4	+2	9
2	CODM Meknès	4	+4	7
3	Hassania Agadir	4	+3	7
4	Ittihad Tanger	4	+2	7
5	Maghreb Fès	4	+1	7
6	UTS Rabat	4	+1	7
7	Difaa EL Jadida	4	0	6
8	Raja Casablanca	3	+1	5
9	Wydad AC	4	0	5
10	FAR Rabat	2	+1	4
11	Amal Tiznit	4	−4	4
12	Renaissance Berkane	3	0	3
13	Widad Témara	4	−1	3
14	Moghreb Tetouan	4	−3	3
15	FUS Rabat	4	−2	2
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	4	−5	1