Ittihad Tanger v Maghreb Fès

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Maghreb Fès win at 40%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Maghreb Fès 40% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 28–31–42
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ittihad Tanger v Maghreb Fès
4. 2′🟨 YELLOW · 2' Maghreb Fès
5. 3′🟨 YELLOW · 2' Khalid Baba · Maghreb Fès
6. 21′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Ittihad Tanger
7. 27′SUBSTITUTION · 25' Ittihad Tanger · On: Hamza El Moudene · Off: Younes Najari
8. 32′We said Maghreb Fès at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
9. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Ittihad Tanger 0–1 Maghreb Fès
10. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Maghreb Fès win: 40% at kick-off, 75% now
11. 33′32′ and it is 0–1: Maghreb Fès have scored. 0–1 · 6–19–76
12. 34′The goal count is tracking the 2.0 we expected. 0–1 · 6–19–76
13. 45′HALF-TIME Ittihad Tanger 0–1 Maghreb Fès
14. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Hamza El Moudene · Ittihad Tanger
15. 46′SECOND HALF Ittihad Tanger 0–1 Maghreb Fès
16. 53′We said Maghreb Fès at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
17. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Maghreb Fès win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
18. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Ittihad Tanger
19. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 53' mohamed saoud · Ittihad Tanger
20. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Maghreb Fès · On: Tshegofatso Mabaso · Off: Christopher Ibayi
21. 68′We said Maghreb Fès at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
22. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Gape Mohutsiwa · Ittihad Tanger
23. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Ittihad Tanger · On: Haytham Bakhlakh · Off: Mohamed El Arouch
24. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Ittihad Tanger 1–1 Maghreb Fès
25. 75′We said Maghreb Fès at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 1–1 · 11–73–15
26. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Maghreb Fès win: 40% at kick-off, 15% now
27. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Draw is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Maghreb Fès win 15%)
28. 76′We said Maghreb Fès at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 11–75–14
29. 77′We said Maghreb Fès at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 2–1 · 86–12–1
30. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Ittihad Tanger 2–1 Maghreb Fès
31. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Maghreb Fès win: 40% at kick-off, 1% now
32. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Ittihad Tanger win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 12%)
33. 78′3 goals already, more than the 2.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 87–12–1
34. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Ittihad Tanger
35. 79′A goal for Ittihad Tanger on 77′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
36. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Maghreb Fès
37. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Maghreb Fès · On: Hamza allah ait · Off: devin titus
38. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Achraf Harmach · Maghreb Fès
39. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Maghreb Fès win: 40% at kick-off, 0% now
40. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Ittihad Tanger · On: Saad Ait Khorsa · Off: mohamed saoud
41. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Ittihad Tanger · On: Saad Ait Khorsa · Off: mohamed saoud
42. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Ittihad Tanger · On: Akram El Wahabi · Off: Soufyan Ahannach
43. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Ittihad Tanger · On: Ennaama El Bellali · Off: Abdel Maali
44. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Abdel Maali · Ittihad Tanger
45. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Maghreb Fès · On: Narcisse ouedraogo · Off: Mohamed Jaouab
46. FTFULL TIME Ittihad Tanger 2–1 Maghreb Fès
47. FTIttihad Tanger 2–1 Maghreb Fès · Maghreb Fès win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.