Hassania Agadir v FAR Rabat prediction · Botola Pro

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 00:00

Hassania Agadir 2–2 FAR Rabat FAR RABAT WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FAR Rabat win~~51%

~~The market said~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.815

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.806

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 36 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said FAR Rabat win at 51%.
1′Much as we predicted: FAR Rabat was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 22–25–53
1′KICK-OFF Hassania Agadir v FAR Rabat
4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Hassania Agadir 0–1 FAR Rabat
5′4′ and it is 0–1: FAR Rabat have scored. 0–1 · 7–15–78
5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
7′We published FAR Rabat at 51%. Our model now makes it 78%. 0–1 · 7–15–78
7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' FAR Rabat win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 5–16–79
33′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Hassania Agadir
33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' FAR Rabat
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Hassania Agadir 1–1 FAR Rabat · Anas Bach
37′⚽ GOAL · 34' Hassania Agadir 1–1 FAR Rabat · Imad Riahi
45′HALF-TIME Hassania Agadir 1–1 FAR Rabat
46′SECOND HALF Hassania Agadir 1–1 FAR Rabat
60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Hassania Agadir · On: Moud Bahsain · Off: Ayoub Boucheta
60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Hassania Agadir · On: Jalal Tachtach · Off: Mohamed Doumbia
62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' FAR Rabat · On: Yazid Faffa · Off: Ahmed Hammoudan
62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' FAR Rabat · On: Allan Okello · Off: Mohcine Bouriga
67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Hassania Agadir · On: a brayim · Off: Tumisang Orebonye
69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Hassania Agadir · On: Salaheddine Benyachou · Off: Amine Azri
71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' FAR Rabat · On: Jamal Ech-Chammakh · Off: To Carneiro
72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Hassania Agadir 2–1 FAR Rabat · Imad Riahi
74′⚽ GOAL · 72' Hassania Agadir 2–1 FAR Rabat
79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' FAR Rabat · On: S. El Bouchqali · Off: Abdelfettah Hadraf
79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' FAR Rabat · On: bola jephte kitambala · Off: Zinedine Derrag
89′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Hassania Agadir · On: Ismail Hrila · Off: Imad Riahi
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Hassania Agadir 2–2 FAR Rabat · Ayoub Qasmi
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Hassania Agadir 2–2 FAR Rabat
FTFULL TIME Hassania Agadir 2–2 FAR Rabat
FTHassania Agadir 2–2 FAR Rabat · FAR Rabat win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get a pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 20:45 · locked at kick-off

Hassania Agadir win20%

Draw28%

FAR Rabat win51%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 21:00

VenueStade Al Inbiaâte

Line-ups

Hassania Agadir

4-2-3-1

FAR Rabat

4-3-3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hassania Agadir

FAR Rabat

4Days since last match4

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Hassania Agadir	3	+3	6
9	FAR Rabat	1	+1	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Hassania Agadir

4-2-3-1

1 G. Merbah

27 A. Tarrazi

30 S. Lamrany

15 A. Qasmi

24 A. Boucheta

42 M. Doumbia

32 E. Akoumi

20 I. Riahi

2 A. Bennadi

11 A. Azri

28 Tumisang Orebonye

Coach · H. Et-Tair

Substitutes

14 · A. Ait Brayim

6 · M. Bahsain

7 · Salaheddine Benyachou

19 · Euclides da Silva Cabral

4 · I. Hrila

31 · I. Motik

10 · A. Qassaq

– · M. Sahd

5 · J. Tachtach

FAR Rabat

4-3-3

16 A. Tagnaouti

3 A. Bach

15 M. Louadni

4 Fallou Formose Mendy

2 Tó Carneiro

40 A. Hadraf

6 Zinedine Derrag

8 K. Aït Ouarkhane

7 Y. Elfahli

9 M. Bouriga

11 A. Hammoudan

Coach · Pedro Soares Gonçalves

Substitutes

– · Y. Faffa

22 · M. Jemjami

30 · J. Kitambala

26 · Nabil Marmouk

14 · A. Okello

20 · S. El Bouchqali

10 · J. E. El Khfiyef

23 · J. Ech-Chammakh

27 · A. Ait Khassou

Our number · far rabat winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 20:45 · locked at kick-off

51% The market49%

Us51%

~~Market~~49%

We make FAR Rabat a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 0.9–1.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · far rabat win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hassania Agadir win	20%	23%	−3
Draw	28%	28%	0
FAR Rabat win	51%	49%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	47%	47%	−1
Both teams to score	50%	50%	0
Over 1.5 goals	74%	71%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	25%	27%	−2
Hassania Agadir or draw	49%	51%	−2
Hassania Agadir clean sheet	21%	–	–
FAR Rabat clean sheet	40%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%

0123450 9.9 10.9 10.1 5.4 2.2 1 5.7 13.4 9.3 5.0 2.0 2 3.5 5.5 4.3 2.3 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hassania Agadir down, FAR Rabat across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,230 Botola Pro matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Botola Pro matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 3.20 goals a meeting; 10 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hassania Agadir at home: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). FAR Rabat away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.94 goals for Hassania Agadir, 1.61 for FAR Rabat. Most likely score 1–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 12 Oct 20:45. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~10 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~HAS 2–3 FAR · FAR 3–0 HAS · HAS 0–3 FAR · FAR 2–1 HAS

Form · last six in Botola Pro

HASSANIA AGADIR

DLDWLW1–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 5–2

FAR RABAT

WDDLDW2–0 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Maghreb Fès	3	+2	7
2	UTS Rabat	3	+2	7
3	Hassania Agadir	3	+3	6
4	Kawkab Marrakech	3	+1	6
5	CODM Meknès	3	+3	4
6	Ittihad Tanger	3	+1	4
7	Raja Casablanca	2	+1	4
8	Wydad AC	3	0	4
9	FAR Rabat	1	+1	3
10	Widad Témara	3	0	3
11	Moghreb Tetouan	3	0	3
12	Difaa EL Jadida	3	−3	3
13	Amal Tiznit	3	−4	3
14	Renaissance Berkane	2	0	2
15	FUS Rabat	3	−2	1
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	3	−5	0