FUS Rabat v Raja Casablanca prediction · Botola Pro

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 23:42

FUS Rabat 1–1 Raja Casablanca RAJA CASABLANCA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Raja Casablanca win~~39%

~~The market said~~37%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.651

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.668

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Raja Casablanca win at 39%.
1′Much as we predicted: Raja Casablanca was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 28–31–41
1′KICK-OFF FUS Rabat v Raja Casablanca
20′⚽ GOAL · 20' FUS Rabat 0–1 Raja Casablanca
34′Adel Bettaieb scores for Raja Casablanca on 20′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 6–19–76
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Raja Casablanca win: 39% at kick-off, 76% now
35′We published Raja Casablanca at 39%. Our model now makes it 76%. 0–1 · 6–19–76
39′Goals are coming at about the 2.0 we expected. 0–1 · 5–18–76
45′🟨 YELLOW · 46' FUS Rabat
45′SECOND HALF FUS Rabat 0–1 Raja Casablanca
45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Raja Casablanca · On: youness dahmani · Off: Adel Bettaieb
47′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Issam Naji · FUS Rabat
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Raja Casablanca win: 39% at kick-off, 79% now
53′We published Raja Casablanca at 39%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Raja Casablanca · On: Mohamed Abu Zraiq · Off: ishak zidani
68′We published Raja Casablanca at 39%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 1–13–85
69′69′ and it is 1–1: FUS Rabat have scored. 1–1 · 14–66–19
69′⚽ GOAL · 69' FUS Rabat 1–1 Raja Casablanca
69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' FUS Rabat · On: Mohamed Bakhkhach · Off: Issam Naji
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Raja Casablanca win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Raja Casablanca win 19%)
71′We said Raja Casablanca at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 13–69–18
73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Raja Casablanca · On: azzeddine laftah · Off: Younes Bakiz
73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Raja Casablanca · On: mohamed makaazi · Off: Felipinho
76′We said Raja Casablanca at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 11–75–14
81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' FUS Rabat · On: Ismail Moutaraji · Off: Deo Bassinga
81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Raja Casablanca · On: Mounaim El Idrissy · Off: Mathias Oyewusi
82′We said Raja Casablanca at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 7–84–9
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Raja Casablanca win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FUS Rabat · On: hamza bouhadi · Off: Amine Souane
89′We said Raja Casablanca at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
FTFULL TIME FUS Rabat 1–1 Raja Casablanca
FTFUS Rabat 1–1 Raja Casablanca · Raja Casablanca win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on FUS Rabat v Raja CasablancaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 20:46 · locked at kick-off

FUS Rabat win26%

Draw35%

Raja Casablanca win39%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 21:00

VenueStade Moulay El Hassan

Line-ups

FUS Rabat

4-4-2

Raja Casablanca

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

FUS Rabat

Raja Casablanca

4Days since last match5

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Raja Casablanca	2	+1	4
15	FUS Rabat	3	−2	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

FUS Rabat

4-4-2

97 A. Lakred

31 Fernando Data Chamboco

3 A. Lemsen

14 A. Souane

2 F. Karmoune

9 M. Lahtimi

8 A. Maher

6 Issam Naji

5 A. Serrhat

28 Déo Gracias Maurile Gloire Bassinga

21 Emanuel anderson

Coach · Ricardo Formosinho

Substitutes

32 · abderahmane arkide

17 · M. Bakhkhach

42 · hamza bouhadi

11 · A. El Harrak

7 · C. Faidi

10 · H. Ferdaoussi

1 · Hamza Lizoul

18 · I. Moutaraji

49 · S. Tazi

Raja Casablanca

4-2-3-1

1 El Mehdi Al Harrar

8 I. Zidani

13 B. Benoun

3 K. Chemseddine

17 A. El Amloud

2 Marian Huja

6 A. Barkok

14 Y. Bakiz

21 A. Bettaieb

10 Felipinho

99 M. Oyewusi

Coach · Paco Jémez

Substitutes

88 · A. Laftah

24 · A. Khammas

27 · Mohammed Abu Zurayq

– · I. Khafi

– · M. El Idrissy

11 · Y. Dahmani

33 · B. Arrassi

23 · M. Al Makahasi

12 · K. Kbiri

Our number · raja casablanca winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 20:46 · locked at kick-off

39% The market37%

Us39%

~~Market~~37%

We make Raja Casablanca a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · raja casablanca win The market, margin stripped

Published at 40%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FUS Rabat win	26%	30%	−4
Draw	35%	33%	+1
Raja Casablanca win	39%	37%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	32%	32%	0
Both teams to score	40%	41%	0
Over 1.5 goals	61%	57%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	14%	15%	−1
FUS Rabat or draw	61%	63%	−3
FUS Rabat clean sheet	33%	–	–
Raja Casablanca clean sheet	43%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 16.0%

0123450 16.0 13.4 8.6 3.3 1 9.9 15.0 7.3 2.8 2 5.1 5.6 3.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FUS Rabat down, Raja Casablanca across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,231 Botola Pro matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Botola Pro matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 2.10 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FUS Rabat at home: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Raja Casablanca away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.86 goals for FUS Rabat, 1.12 for Raja Casablanca. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.10

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~RAJ 4–1 FUS · FUS 0–2 RAJ · FUS 2–1 RAJ · RAJ 1–0 FUS

Form · last six in Botola Pro

FUS RABAT

WDLLLD2–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–0

RAJA CASABLANCA

LDWWWD1–2 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hassania Agadir	4	+3	7
2	Maghreb Fès	3	+2	7
3	UTS Rabat	3	+2	7
4	Kawkab Marrakech	3	+1	6
5	CODM Meknès	3	+3	4
6	Ittihad Tanger	3	+1	4
7	FAR Rabat	2	+1	4
8	Raja Casablanca	2	+1	4
9	Wydad AC	3	0	4
10	Widad Témara	3	0	3
11	Moghreb Tetouan	3	0	3
12	Difaa EL Jadida	3	−3	3
13	Amal Tiznit	3	−4	3
14	Renaissance Berkane	2	0	2
15	FUS Rabat	3	−2	1
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	3	−5	0