FAR Rabat v Ittihad Tanger prediction · Botola Pro

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FAR RabatDrawIttihad Tanger

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · FAR Rabat 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FAR Rabat are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FAR Rabat 55%, draw 28%, Ittihad Tanger 17%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on FAR Rabat v Ittihad TangerBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

FAR Rabat win55%

Draw28%

Ittihad Tanger win17%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 20:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueStade Prince Moulay Abdallah

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FAR Rabat

Ittihad Tanger

11Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup

Last match: 14 Oct · Botola Pro

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Ittihad Tanger	4	+2	7
11	FAR Rabat	2	+1	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · far rabat winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make FAR Rabat a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FAR Rabat v Ittihad Tanger~~1.63 – 0.80

~~Form · Botola Pro this season · since 24 Sept~~W1 D1 L0 · W2 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 4 v 7~~11 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FAR Rabat win	55%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Ittihad Tanger win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
FAR Rabat or draw	83%	–	–
FAR Rabat clean sheet	45%	–	–
Ittihad Tanger clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 10.8 5.5 2.9 1 12.7 12.9 4.5 2 11.6 9.1 3.6 3 6.4 4.9 4 2.7 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FAR Rabat down, Ittihad Tanger across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,241 Botola Pro matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Botola Pro matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games this season, across 33 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.90 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FAR Rabat at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Ittihad Tanger away: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for FAR Rabat, 0.80 for Ittihad Tanger. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.90

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ITT 0–0 FAR · FAR 1–1 ITT · FAR 3–2 ITT · ITT 1–1 FAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola Pro this season · since 24 Sept

FAR RABAT

WD1–0 · 2–2

ITTIHAD TANGER

WDLW3–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CODM Meknès	5	+5	10
2	Kawkab Marrakech	4	+2	9
3	Wydad AC	5	+1	8
4	Hassania Agadir	4	+3	7
5	Ittihad Tanger	4	+2	7
6	Maghreb Fès	4	+1	7
7	UTS Rabat	5	0	7
8	Widad Témara	5	+2	6
9	Difaa EL Jadida	4	0	6
10	Raja Casablanca	3	+1	5
11	FAR Rabat	2	+1	4
12	Amal Tiznit	5	−5	4
13	Renaissance Berkane	3	0	3
14	Moghreb Tetouan	5	−6	3
15	FUS Rabat	4	−2	2
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	4	−5	1