Difaa EL Jadida v UTS Rabat prediction · Botola Pro

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Difaa EL JadidaDrawUTS Rabat

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Difaa EL Jadida 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Difaa EL Jadida just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Difaa EL Jadida 37%, draw 30%, UTS Rabat 33%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Difaa EL Jadida v UTS RabatBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Difaa EL Jadida win37%

Draw30%

UTS Rabat win33%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 20:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Difaa EL Jadida

UTS Rabat

13Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Botola Pro

Last match: 24 Oct · Botola Pro

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	UTS Rabat	5	0	7
9	Difaa EL Jadida	4	0	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · difaa el jadida winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Difaa EL Jadida a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Difaa EL Jadida v UTS Rabat~~1.32 – 1.22

~~Form · Botola Pro this season · since 26 Sept~~W2 D0 L2 · W2 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 6 v 7~~9 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Difaa EL Jadida win	37%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
UTS Rabat win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Difaa EL Jadida or draw	67%	–	–
Difaa EL Jadida clean sheet	30%	–	–
UTS Rabat clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.3%

0123450 10.0 7.9 5.9 2.4 1 8.6 14.3 7.6 3.1 2 6.8 8.2 5.0 2.1 3 3.0 3.6 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Difaa EL Jadida down, UTS Rabat across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,241 Botola Pro matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Botola Pro matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games this season, across 33 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.17 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Difaa EL Jadida at home: 1.50 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). UTS Rabat away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Difaa EL Jadida, 1.22 for UTS Rabat. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.17

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~UTS 1–2 DIF · DIF 1–0 UTS · DIF 1–0 UTS · UTS 2–2 DIF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola Pro this season · since 26 Sept

DIFAA EL JADIDA

LLWW2–6 · 0–2 · 5–2 · 4–1

UTS RABAT

WWDLL2–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CODM Meknès	5	+5	10
2	Kawkab Marrakech	4	+2	9
3	Wydad AC	5	+1	8
4	Hassania Agadir	4	+3	7
5	Ittihad Tanger	4	+2	7
6	Maghreb Fès	4	+1	7
7	UTS Rabat	5	0	7
8	Widad Témara	5	+2	6
9	Difaa EL Jadida	4	0	6
10	Raja Casablanca	3	+1	5
11	FAR Rabat	2	+1	4
12	Amal Tiznit	5	−5	4
13	Renaissance Berkane	3	0	3
14	Moghreb Tetouan	5	−6	3
15	FUS Rabat	4	−2	2
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	4	−5	1