CR Khemis Zemamra v FUS Rabat prediction · Botola Pro

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CR Khemis ZemamraDrawFUS Rabat

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · FUS Rabat 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FUS Rabat are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CR Khemis Zemamra 31%, draw 32%, FUS Rabat 37%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on CR Khemis Zemamra v FUS RabatBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 16:01 · locked at kick-off

CR Khemis Zemamra win31%

Draw32%

FUS Rabat win37%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueStade Terrain Ahmed Chokri

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CR Khemis Zemamra

FUS Rabat

12Days since last match12

Last match: 13 Oct · Botola Pro

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	FUS Rabat	4	−2	2
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	4	−5	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fus rabat winFirst published 20 Oct 16:01 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make FUS Rabat a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CR Khemis Zemamra v FUS Rabat~~1.07 – 1.21

~~Form · Botola Pro this season · since 26 Sept~~W0 D1 L3 · W0 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 2~~16 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CR Khemis Zemamra win	31%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
FUS Rabat win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
CR Khemis Zemamra or draw	63%	–	–
CR Khemis Zemamra clean sheet	30%	–	–
FUS Rabat clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.9%

0123450 12.4 10.5 7.4 3.0 1 9.1 14.9 7.8 3.2 2 5.9 7.0 4.2 3 2.2 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CR Khemis Zemamra down, FUS Rabat across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,241 Botola Pro matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Botola Pro matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games this season, across 33 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.17 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CR Khemis Zemamra at home: 1.50 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). FUS Rabat away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.07 goals for CR Khemis Zemamra, 1.21 for FUS Rabat. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.17

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~CRK 1–1 FUS · FUS 3–2 CRK · FUS 3–0 CRK · CRK 3–1 FUS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola Pro this season · since 26 Sept

CR KHEMIS ZEMAMRA

LLLD1–2 · 0–1 · 2–5 · 2–2

FUS RABAT

LLDD1–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CODM Meknès	5	+5	10
2	Kawkab Marrakech	4	+2	9
3	Wydad AC	5	+1	8
4	Hassania Agadir	4	+3	7
5	Ittihad Tanger	4	+2	7
6	Maghreb Fès	4	+1	7
7	UTS Rabat	5	0	7
8	Widad Témara	5	+2	6
9	Difaa EL Jadida	4	0	6
10	Raja Casablanca	3	+1	5
11	FAR Rabat	2	+1	4
12	Amal Tiznit	5	−5	4
13	Renaissance Berkane	3	0	3
14	Moghreb Tetouan	5	−6	3
15	FUS Rabat	4	−2	2
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	4	−5	1