Amal Tiznit v Kawkab Marrakech prediction · Botola Pro

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Amal TiznitDrawKawkab Marrakech

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kawkab Marrakech 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Kawkab Marrakech just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Amal Tiznit 30%, draw 33%, Kawkab Marrakech 37%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Amal Tiznit v Kawkab MarrakechBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Amal Tiznit win30%

Draw33%

Kawkab Marrakech win37%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Amal Tiznit

Kawkab Marrakech

7Days since last match13

Last match: 24 Oct · Botola Pro

Last match: 18 Oct · Botola Pro

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Kawkab Marrakech	4	+2	9
12	Amal Tiznit	5	−5	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kawkab marrakech winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Kawkab Marrakech a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Amal Tiznit v Kawkab Marrakech~~1.00 – 1.14

~~Form · Botola Pro this season · since 24 Sept~~W1 D1 L3 · W3 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 4 v 9~~12 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Amal Tiznit win	30%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Kawkab Marrakech win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Amal Tiznit or draw	63%	–	–
Amal Tiznit clean sheet	32%	–	–
Kawkab Marrakech clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 15.0%

0123450 13.9 11.5 7.6 3.0 1 9.9 15.0 7.5 2.9 2 5.9 6.6 3.8 3 2.0 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Amal Tiznit down, Kawkab Marrakech across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,241 Botola Pro matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Botola Pro matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games this season, across 33 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Amal Tiznit at home: 1.00 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 4). Kawkab Marrakech away: 0.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.00 goals for Amal Tiznit, 1.14 for Kawkab Marrakech. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola Pro this season · since 24 Sept

AMAL TIZNIT

LWLDL1–3 · 1–0 · 2–5 · 1–1 · 1–2

KAWKAB MARRAKECH

LWWW2–3 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CODM Meknès	5	+5	10
2	Kawkab Marrakech	4	+2	9
3	Wydad AC	5	+1	8
4	Hassania Agadir	4	+3	7
5	Ittihad Tanger	4	+2	7
6	Maghreb Fès	4	+1	7
7	UTS Rabat	5	0	7
8	Widad Témara	5	+2	6
9	Difaa EL Jadida	4	0	6
10	Raja Casablanca	3	+1	5
11	FAR Rabat	2	+1	4
12	Amal Tiznit	5	−5	4
13	Renaissance Berkane	3	0	3
14	Moghreb Tetouan	5	−6	3
15	FUS Rabat	4	−2	2
16	CR Khemis Zemamra	4	−5	1