Wydad Fès v Chabab Ben Guerir prediction · Botola 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Wydad FèsDrawChabab Ben Guerir

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Wydad Fès 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Wydad Fès are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wydad Fès 45%, draw 33%, Chabab Ben Guerir 22%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Wydad Fès v Chabab Ben GuerirBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Wydad Fès win45%

Draw33%

Chabab Ben Guerir win22%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wydad Fès

Chabab Ben Guerir

7Days since last match14

Last match: 24 Oct · Botola 2

Last match: 17 Oct · Botola 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Wydad Fès	5	+5	10
12	Chabab Ben Guerir	4	0	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wydad fès winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Wydad Fès a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Wydad Fès v Chabab Ben Guerir~~1.21 – 0.78

~~Form · Botola 2 this season · since 26 Sept~~W3 D1 L1 · W1 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 10 v 4~~2 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wydad Fès win	45%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Chabab Ben Guerir win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	32%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
Wydad Fès or draw	78%	–	–
Wydad Fès clean sheet	46%	–	–
Chabab Ben Guerir clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.4%

0123450 15.4 9.0 4.2 1 14.9 14.4 5.0 2 10.0 7.7 3.0 3 4.1 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wydad Fès down, Chabab Ben Guerir across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,480 Botola 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Botola 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.9% of games this season, across 36 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Wydad Fès at home: 2.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Chabab Ben Guerir away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.21 goals for Wydad Fès, 0.78 for Chabab Ben Guerir. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~WYD 1–1 CHA · CHA 1–0 WYD · CHA 1–3 WYD · WYD 2–1 CHA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola 2 this season · since 26 Sept

WYDAD FÈS

WWLWD1–0 · 3–0 · 0–2 · 4–1 · 2–2

CHABAB BEN GUERIR

WLLD2–0 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yacoub El Mansour	5	+4	11
2	Wydad Fès	5	+5	10
3	Olympique Dcheïra	5	+5	10
4	Ittihad Khemisset	4	+2	9
5	Olympique Safi	5	0	8
6	Stade Marocain	5	0	7
7	USM Oujda	4	−1	7
8	Olympique Khouribga	5	+2	5
9	Mouloudia Oujda	4	0	5
10	El Massira	4	0	5
11	KAC Kenitra	5	−1	5
12	Chabab Ben Guerir	4	0	4
13	Chabab Atl. Khenifra	5	−4	4
14	Union Sportive Boujaad	4	−3	3
15	Chabab Mohammédia	4	−3	2
16	Riadi Salmi	4	−6	1