Union Sportive Boujaad v Olympique Dcheïra prediction · Botola 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Union Sportive BoujaadDrawOlympique Dcheïra

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Union Sportive Boujaad 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Union Sportive Boujaad just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Union Sportive Boujaad 38%, draw 34%, Olympique Dcheïra 28%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Union Sportive Boujaad v Olympique DcheïraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Union Sportive Boujaad win38%

Draw34%

Olympique Dcheïra win28%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Union Sportive Boujaad

Olympique Dcheïra

14Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Botola 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Botola 2

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Olympique Dcheïra	5	+5	10
14	Union Sportive Boujaad	4	−3	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · union sportive boujaad winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Union Sportive Boujaad a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Union Sportive Boujaad v Olympique Dcheïra~~1.11 – 0.90

~~Form · Botola 2 this season · since 26 Sept~~W0 D3 L1 · W3 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 10~~14 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Union Sportive Boujaad win	38%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
Olympique Dcheïra win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	32%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
Union Sportive Boujaad or draw	72%	–	–
Union Sportive Boujaad clean sheet	41%	–	–
Olympique Dcheïra clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.3%

0123450 15.3 10.4 5.4 1 13.2 14.9 6.0 2 8.2 7.3 3.3 3 3.0 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Union Sportive Boujaad down, Olympique Dcheïra across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,480 Botola 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Botola 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.9% of games this season, across 36 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Union Sportive Boujaad at home: 1.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Olympique Dcheïra away: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.11 goals for Union Sportive Boujaad, 0.90 for Olympique Dcheïra. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola 2 this season · since 26 Sept

UNION SPORTIVE BOUJAAD

DLDD0–0 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 1–1

OLYMPIQUE DCHEÏRA

WLWWD1–0 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 4–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yacoub El Mansour	5	+4	11
2	Wydad Fès	5	+5	10
3	Olympique Dcheïra	5	+5	10
4	Ittihad Khemisset	4	+2	9
5	Olympique Safi	5	0	8
6	Stade Marocain	5	0	7
7	USM Oujda	4	−1	7
8	Olympique Khouribga	5	+2	5
9	Mouloudia Oujda	4	0	5
10	El Massira	4	0	5
11	KAC Kenitra	5	−1	5
12	Chabab Ben Guerir	4	0	4
13	Chabab Atl. Khenifra	5	−4	4
14	Union Sportive Boujaad	4	−3	3
15	Chabab Mohammédia	4	−3	2
16	Riadi Salmi	4	−6	1