Olympique Khouribga v Stade Marocain prediction · Botola 2

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 00:34

Olympique Khouribga 1–1 Stade Marocain OLYMPIQUE KHOURIBGA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Olympique Khouribga win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.694

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Olympique Khouribga are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Olympique Khouribga 41%, draw 33%, Stade Marocain 26%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Olympique Khouribga v Stade MarocainBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Olympique Khouribga win41%

Draw33%

Stade Marocain win26%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueComplexe OCP

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Olympique Khouribga

Stade Marocain

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Botola 2

Last match: 17 Oct · Botola 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Stade Marocain	4	0	6
10	Olympique Khouribga	4	+2	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olympique khouribga winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Olympique Khouribga a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Olympique Khouribga v Stade Marocain~~1.21 – 0.91

~~Form · Botola 2 this season · since 26 Sept~~W1 D1 L2 · W2 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 4 v 6~~10 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Olympique Khouribga win	41%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Stade Marocain win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Olympique Khouribga or draw	74%	–	–
Olympique Khouribga clean sheet	40%	–	–
Stade Marocain clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.7%

0123450 13.8 9.4 5.0 1 12.9 14.7 6.0 2 8.7 7.9 3.6 3 3.5 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Olympique Khouribga down, Stade Marocain across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,476 Botola 2 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Botola 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.5% of games this season, across 32 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 2.67 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Olympique Khouribga at home: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Stade Marocain away: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.21 goals for Olympique Khouribga, 0.91 for Stade Marocain. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~STA 4–1 OLY · OLY 0–1 STA · OLY 3–1 STA · STA 1–0 OLY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola 2 this season · since 26 Sept

OLYMPIQUE KHOURIBGA

LWLD0–1 · 4–0 · 1–2 · 1–1

STADE MAROCAIN

LLWW1–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yacoub El Mansour	4	+4	10
2	Olympique Dcheïra	4	+5	9
3	Wydad Fès	4	+5	9
4	Ittihad Khemisset	4	+2	9
5	Olympique Safi	4	+2	8
6	USM Oujda	4	−1	7
7	Stade Marocain	4	0	6
8	Mouloudia Oujda	4	0	5
9	El Massira	4	0	5
10	Olympique Khouribga	4	+2	4
11	Chabab Ben Guerir	4	0	4
12	KAC Kenitra	4	−1	4
13	Union Sportive Boujaad	4	−3	3
14	Chabab Mohammédia	4	−3	2
15	Chabab Atl. Khenifra	4	−6	1
16	Riadi Salmi	4	−6	1