Olympique Dcheïra v KAC Kenitra prediction · Botola 2

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45

Olympique Dcheïra 0–0 KAC Kenitra OLYMPIQUE DCHEÏRA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Olympique Dcheïra win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.794

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Olympique Dcheïra are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Olympique Dcheïra 51%, draw 30%, KAC Kenitra 19%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Olympique Dcheïra v KAC KenitraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Olympique Dcheïra win51%

Draw30%

KAC Kenitra win19%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Olympique Dcheïra

KAC Kenitra

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Botola 2

Last match: 17 Oct · Botola 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Olympique Dcheïra	4	+5	9
12	KAC Kenitra	4	−1	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olympique dcheïra winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Olympique Dcheïra a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Olympique Dcheïra v KAC Kenitra~~1.46 – 0.79

~~Form · Botola 2 this season · since 26 Sept~~W3 D0 L1 · W1 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 9 v 4~~2 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Olympique Dcheïra win	51%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
KAC Kenitra win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Olympique Dcheïra or draw	81%	–	–
Olympique Dcheïra clean sheet	45%	–	–
KAC Kenitra clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.9%

0123450 12.2 6.9 3.3 1 13.9 13.5 4.8 2 11.1 8.7 3.5 3 5.4 4.3 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Olympique Dcheïra down, KAC Kenitra across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,476 Botola 2 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Botola 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.5% of games this season, across 32 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 2.25 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Olympique Dcheïra at home: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). KAC Kenitra away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.46 goals for Olympique Dcheïra, 0.79 for KAC Kenitra. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~2.25

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~KAC 1–0 OLY · OLY 6–2 KAC · KAC 0–0 OLY · OLY 0–0 KAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola 2 this season · since 26 Sept

OLYMPIQUE DCHEÏRA

WLWW1–0 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 4–1

KAC KENITRA

LLDW0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yacoub El Mansour	4	+4	10
2	Olympique Dcheïra	4	+5	9
3	Wydad Fès	4	+5	9
4	Ittihad Khemisset	4	+2	9
5	Olympique Safi	4	+2	8
6	USM Oujda	4	−1	7
7	Stade Marocain	4	0	6
8	Mouloudia Oujda	4	0	5
9	El Massira	4	0	5
10	Olympique Khouribga	4	+2	4
11	Chabab Ben Guerir	4	0	4
12	KAC Kenitra	4	−1	4
13	Union Sportive Boujaad	4	−3	3
14	Chabab Mohammédia	4	−3	2
15	Chabab Atl. Khenifra	4	−6	1
16	Riadi Salmi	4	−6	1