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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Botola 2 › El Massira v Union Sportive Boujaad

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El Massira v Union Sportive Boujaad

El Massira
15:00Upcoming
Union Sportive Boujaad

Botola 2 · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

El MassiraDrawUnion Sportive Boujaad
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00
Before kick-off · Match result · El Massira 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

El Massira are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: El Massira 41%, draw 34%, Union Sportive Boujaad 24%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on El Massira v Union Sportive BoujaadBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

El Massira win41%
Draw34%
Union Sportive Boujaad win24%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

El Massira

Union Sportive Boujaad

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Botola 2

Last match: 17 Oct · Botola 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
9El Massira405
14Union Sportive Boujaad4−33

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · el massira winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
41% The market–
Us41%

We make El Massira a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · El Massira v Union Sportive Boujaad1.12 – 0.80
Form · Botola 2 this season · since 26 SeptW1 D2 L1 · W0 D3 L1
Table places · points 5 v 39 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
El Massira win41%––
Draw34%––
Union Sportive Boujaad win24%––
Over 2.5 goals30%––
Both teams to score39%––
Over 1.5 goals59%––
Over 3.5 goals13%––
El Massira or draw76%––
El Massira clean sheet45%––
Union Sportive Boujaad clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 16.5%
0123450 16.5 10.0 4.7 1 14.8 14.6 5.2 2 9.2 7.3 2.9 3 3.5 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+El Massira down, Union Sportive Boujaad across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting0.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsUNI 0–0 ELM · ELM 0–0 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Botola 2 this season · since 26 Sept

EL MASSIRA

WDDL2–1 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 0–1

UNION SPORTIVE BOUJAAD

DLDD0–0 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Yacoub El Mansour5+411
2Wydad Fès5+510
3Olympique Dcheïra5+510
4Ittihad Khemisset4+29
5Olympique Safi508
6USM Oujda4−17
7Stade Marocain406
8Mouloudia Oujda405
9El Massira405
10KAC Kenitra5−15
11Olympique Khouribga4+24
12Chabab Ben Guerir404
13Chabab Atl. Khenifra5−44
14Union Sportive Boujaad4−33
15Chabab Mohammédia4−32
16Riadi Salmi4−61

The competition's standings before kick-off.