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Model 1.1

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El Massira v Mouloudia Oujda

El Massira
2–2Full time
Mouloudia Oujda

Botola 2 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47
El Massira 2–2 Mouloudia Oujda EL MASSIRA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said El Massira win47%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.737

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

El Massira win47%
Draw31%
Mouloudia Oujda win22%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

El Massira

Mouloudia Oujda

7Days since last match8
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
6El Massira2+14
8Mouloudia Oujda203

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · el massira winPublished 11 Oct 17:22
47% The market–
Us47%

We make El Massira a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
El Massira win47%––
Draw31%––
Mouloudia Oujda win22%––
Over 2.5 goals37%––
Both teams to score43%––
Over 1.5 goals65%––
Over 3.5 goals17%––
El Massira or draw78%––
El Massira clean sheet43%––
Mouloudia Oujda clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.2%
0123450 13.2 8.1 4.1 1 13.7 14.2 5.3 2 10.1 8.4 3.5 3 4.5 3.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+El Massira down, Mouloudia Oujda across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.50 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsELM 1–1 MOU · MOU 1–0 ELM · MOU 1–1 ELM · ELM 1–0 MOU

Form · last six in Botola 2

EL MASSIRA

LWLWWD0–1 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 0–0

MOULOUDIA OUJDA

LDDDLW0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ittihad Khemisset3+39
2USM Oujda3+27
3Wydad Fès2+46
4Yacoub El Mansour2+36
5Olympique Safi3+15
6El Massira2+14
7Olympique Khouribga3+23
8Mouloudia Oujda203
9Chabab Ben Guerir303
10Olympique Dcheïra203
11Stade Marocain3−13
12Union Sportive Boujaad3−32
13KAC Kenitra3−21
14Riadi Salmi2−21
15Chabab Mohammédia2−30
16Chabab Atl. Khenifra2−50

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.