Zeta v Iskra prediction · Second League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Zeta 1–1 Iskra ZETA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Zeta win~~37%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.745

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Zeta just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Zeta 37%, draw 30%, Iskra 33%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Zeta v IskraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Zeta win37%

Draw30%

Iskra win33%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zeta

Iskra

7Days since last match4

Last match: 11 Oct · Second League (Montenegro)

Last match: 14 Oct · Cup (Montenegro)

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Zeta	11	+3	18
5	Iskra	11	+1	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zeta winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Zeta a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Zeta v Iskra~~1.15 – 1.07

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 16 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 18 v 16~~3 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zeta win	37%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Iskra win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	38%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Zeta or draw	67%	–	–
Zeta clean sheet	35%	–	–
Iskra clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%

0123450 11.7 11.3 6.2 2.3 1 12.1 13.3 6.9 2.5 2 7.1 7.4 3.9 3 2.8 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Zeta down, Iskra across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 907 Second League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.4% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 2 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zeta at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Iskra away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.15 goals for Zeta, 1.07 for Iskra. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~ISK 0–1 ZET · ISK 0–2 ZET · ZET 3–1 ISK · ISK 3–1 ZET

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 16 Sept

ZETA

DLWLWL3–3 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 2–3

ISKRA

LLWLWW0–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 5–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	12	+7	23
2	Jedinstvo	11	+4	20
3	Zeta	11	+3	18
4	Grbalj	11	+3	16
5	Iskra	11	+1	16
6	Rudar	12	0	16
7	Lovćen	11	−2	16
8	Kom	10	+3	15
9	Mogren	12	−1	11
10	Berane	11	−18	2