Zeta v Berane prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ZetaDrawBerane

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Zeta 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zeta are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zeta 55%, draw 25%, Berane 20%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Zeta v BeraneBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Zeta win55%

Draw25%

Berane win20%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zeta

Berane

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Second League (Montenegro)

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Zeta	12	+3	19
10	Berane	12	−21	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zeta winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Zeta a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Zeta v Berane~~1.68 – 0.89

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 20 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 19 v 2~~3 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Zeta win	55%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Berane win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Zeta or draw	80%	–	–
Zeta clean sheet	42%	–	–
Berane clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.5%

0123450 8.6 6.7 3.2 1 12.5 11.5 5.0 2 10.5 9.0 4.1 3 5.9 5.1 2.3 4 2.6 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Zeta down, Berane across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 911 Second League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.3% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.40 goals a meeting; 0 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Zeta at home: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Berane away: 0.50 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for Zeta, 0.89 for Berane. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.40

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 5

~~Both scored~~1 of 5

~~Last meetings~~BER 0–2 ZET · BER 1–1 ZET · ZET 1–0 BER · BER 2–0 ZET

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 20 Sept

ZETA

LWLWLD2–3 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 2–3 · 1–1

BERANE

LLLLLL0–3 · 2–3 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 1–5 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jedinstvo	13	+10	23
2	Mladost Lješkopolje	12	+7	23
3	Zeta	12	+3	19
4	Lovćen	12	+1	19
5	Kom	11	+4	18
6	Iskra	12	+1	17
7	Rudar	12	0	16
8	Grbalj	12	−4	16
9	Mogren	12	−1	11
10	Berane	12	−21	2