Mladost Lješkopolje v Iskra prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Mladost LješkopoljeDrawIskra

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Mladost Lješkopolje 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Mladost Lješkopolje just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Mladost Lješkopolje 38%, draw 28%, Iskra 35%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Mladost Lješkopolje v IskraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Mladost Lješkopolje win38%

Draw28%

Iskra win35%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mladost Lješkopolje

Iskra

14Days since last match13

Last match: 17 Oct · Second League (Montenegro)

Last match: 18 Oct · Second League (Montenegro)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Mladost Lješkopolje	12	+7	23
6	Iskra	12	+1	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mladost lješkopolje winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Mladost Lješkopolje a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Mladost Lješkopolje v Iskra~~1.28 – 1.21

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 20 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 23 v 17~~2 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mladost Lješkopolje win	38%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Iskra win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Mladost Lješkopolje or draw	65%	–	–
Mladost Lješkopolje clean sheet	30%	–	–
Iskra clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 9.0 9.8 6.1 2.5 1 10.2 12.9 7.6 3.1 2 6.7 7.9 4.8 3 2.9 3.4 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mladost Lješkopolje down, Iskra across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 911 Second League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.3% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.40 goals a meeting; 1 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Mladost Lješkopolje at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Iskra away: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.28 goals for Mladost Lješkopolje, 1.21 for Iskra. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.40

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ISK 1–1 MLA · ISK 0–0 MLA · MLA 0–1 ISK · ISK 0–0 MLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 20 Sept

MLADOST LJEŠKOPOLJE

WWDWLW2–1 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 2–1

ISKRA

LWLWWD0–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 5–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jedinstvo	13	+10	23
2	Mladost Lješkopolje	12	+7	23
3	Zeta	12	+3	19
4	Lovćen	12	+1	19
5	Kom	11	+4	18
6	Iskra	12	+1	17
7	Rudar	12	0	16
8	Grbalj	12	−4	16
9	Mogren	12	−1	11
10	Berane	12	−21	2