Mladost Lješkopolje v Grbalj prediction · Second League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

Mladost Lješkopolje 2–1 Grbalj MLADOST LJEŠKOPOLJE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Mladost Lješkopolje win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.526

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mladost Lješkopolje are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mladost Lješkopolje 41%, draw 25%, Grbalj 34%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Mladost Lješkopolje v GrbaljBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Mladost Lješkopolje win41%

Draw25%

Grbalj win34%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mladost Lješkopolje

Grbalj

6Days since last match4

Last match: 11 Oct · Second League (Montenegro)

Last match: 13 Oct · Cup (Montenegro)

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mladost lješkopolje winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Mladost Lješkopolje a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Mladost Lješkopolje v Grbalj~~1.54 – 1.38

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 20 v 16~~1 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mladost Lješkopolje win	41%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Grbalj win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Mladost Lješkopolje or draw	66%	–	–
Mladost Lješkopolje clean sheet	26%	–	–
Grbalj clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 6.0 7.4 5.2 2.4 1 8.2 11.5 7.7 3.6 2 6.4 8.5 5.8 2.7 3 3.3 4.4 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mladost Lješkopolje down, Grbalj across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 905 Second League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.3% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.10 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Mladost Lješkopolje at home: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Grbalj away: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.54 goals for Mladost Lješkopolje, 1.38 for Grbalj. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.10

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~GRB 0–0 MLA · MLA 3–2 GRB · GRB 3–1 MLA · MLA 1–0 GRB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 12 Sept

MLADOST LJEŠKOPOLJE

DWWDWL3–3 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–3

GRBALJ

DWWWLD1–1 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	11	+6	20
2	Jedinstvo	11	+4	20
3	Zeta	11	+3	18
4	Grbalj	10	+4	16
5	Iskra	11	+1	16
6	Lovćen	11	−2	16
7	Kom	10	+3	15
8	Rudar	11	0	15
9	Mogren	11	−1	10
10	Berane	11	−18	2