Home › Football › Second League › Lovćen v Jedinstvo

Lovćen v Jedinstvo

Lovćen

2–0Full time

Jedinstvo

Second League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 15:49

Lovćen 2–0 Jedinstvo JEDINSTVO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Jedinstvo win~~48%

~~The market said~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.821

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.691

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Lovćen win27%

Draw25%

Jedinstvo win48%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jedinstvo winPublished 9 Oct 13:02

48% The market40%

Us48%

~~Market~~40%

We make Jedinstvo a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.6.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lovćen win	27%	32%	−5
Draw	25%	28%	−3
Jedinstvo win	48%	40%	+8
Over 2.5 goals	50%	45%	+5
Both teams to score	52%	52%	0
Over 1.5 goals	74%	69%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	29%	25%	+3
Lovćen or draw	52%	60%	−8
Lovćen clean sheet	22%	–	–
Jedinstvo clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 7.5 10.6 8.4 4.5 1 7.5 11.7 8.7 4.7 2 4.4 6.4 4.8 2.6 3 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lovćen down, Jedinstvo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 900 Second League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 5.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lovćen at home: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Jedinstvo away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.11 goals for Lovćen, 1.59 for Jedinstvo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~JED 2–3 LOV

Form · last six in Second League

LOVĆEN

DLWLWL1–1 · 2–4 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–2

JEDINSTVO

DWWWDW2–2 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	10	+7	20
2	Jedinstvo	10	+6	20
3	Zeta	10	+4	18
4	Grbalj	9	+4	15
5	Iskra	10	−3	13
6	Lovćen	10	−4	13
7	Kom	9	+2	12
8	Rudar	10	−1	12
9	Mogren	10	−1	9
10	Berane	10	−14	2