Kom v Mladost Lješkopolje prediction · Second League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Kom 3–2 Mladost Lješkopolje KOM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kom win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.564

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Kom win39%

Draw26%

Mladost Lješkopolje win35%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Kom

Mladost Lješkopolje

7Days since last match5

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	10	+7	20
7	Kom	9	+2	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kom winPublished 11 Oct 15:49

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Kom a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kom win	39%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Mladost Lješkopolje win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Kom or draw	65%	–	–
Kom clean sheet	27%	–	–
Mladost Lješkopolje clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 6.9 8.4 5.7 2.6 1 8.9 12.1 7.8 3.5 2 6.4 8.3 5.5 2.5 3 3.1 4.0 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kom down, Mladost Lješkopolje across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 902 Second League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.1% of games this season, across 51 played.

Head to head

17 previous meetings, 2.65 goals a meeting; 8 of 17 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kom at home: 0.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Mladost Lješkopolje away: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Kom, 1.34 for Mladost Lješkopolje. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

17 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.65

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 17

~~Both scored~~8 of 17

~~Last meetings~~MLA 2–1 KOM · KOM 1–0 MLA · MLA 1–0 KOM · KOM 1–0 MLA

Form · last six in Second League

KOM

WDDLWD2–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 1–1

MLADOST LJEŠKOPOLJE

DDWWDW1–1 · 3–3 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	10	+7	20
2	Jedinstvo	11	+4	20
3	Zeta	10	+4	18
4	Grbalj	10	+4	16
5	Lovćen	11	−2	16
6	Iskra	10	−3	13
7	Kom	9	+2	12
8	Rudar	10	−1	12
9	Mogren	11	−1	10
10	Berane	10	−14	2