Jedinstvo v Kom prediction · Second League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 15:23

Jedinstvo 1–2 Kom JEDINSTVO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Jedinstvo win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.950

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Jedinstvo are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Jedinstvo 54%, draw 24%, Kom 22%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Jedinstvo v KomBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Jedinstvo win54%

Draw24%

Kom win22%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Jedinstvo

Kom

3Days since last match3

Last match: 15 Oct · Cup (Montenegro)

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Jedinstvo	11	+4	20
8	Kom	10	+3	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jedinstvo winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Jedinstvo a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Jedinstvo v Kom~~1.75 – 1.02

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 20 v 15~~2 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Jedinstvo win	54%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Kom win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Jedinstvo or draw	78%	–	–
Jedinstvo clean sheet	37%	–	–
Kom clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 7.1 6.3 3.4 1 10.8 11.2 5.6 2 9.4 9.2 4.7 3 5.5 5.3 2.7 4 2.6 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Jedinstvo down, Kom across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 907 Second League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.4% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.60 goals a meeting; 1 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Jedinstvo at home: 1.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Kom away: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Jedinstvo, 1.02 for Kom. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.60

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 5

~~Both scored~~0 of 5

~~Last meetings~~KOM 2–0 JED · KOM 0–3 JED · JED 0–1 KOM · KOM 0–1 JED

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 12 Sept

JEDINSTVO

WWWDWL2–0 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–2

KOM

DDLWDW0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	12	+7	23
2	Jedinstvo	11	+4	20
3	Zeta	11	+3	18
4	Grbalj	11	+3	16
5	Iskra	11	+1	16
6	Rudar	12	0	16
7	Lovćen	11	−2	16
8	Kom	10	+3	15
9	Mogren	12	−1	11
10	Berane	11	−18	2