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Grbalj v Mogren
Second League · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Grbalj win at 50%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Grbalj 50% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–25–25
- 1′KICK-OFF Grbalj v Mogren
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Grbalj 0–0 Mogren
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Grbalj 0–1 Mogren
- 21′A goal for Mogren on 14′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 21–25–53
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Grbalj win: 50% at kick-off, 21% now
- 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Mogren win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Grbalj win 21%)
- 41′We said Grbalj at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–26–59
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Grbalj win: 50% at kick-off, 15% now
- 45′We said Grbalj at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–26–61
- 45′HALF-TIME Grbalj 0–1 Mogren
- 46′SECOND HALF Grbalj 0–1 Mogren
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 14' Grbalj 0–1 Mogren
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Grbalj 0–2 Mogren
- 66′61′ and it is 0–2: Mogren have scored. 0–2 · 1–5–94
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Grbalj win: 50% at kick-off, 1% now
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Grbalj 1–2 Mogren
- 88′A goal for Grbalj on 89′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–3–97
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Grbalj win: 50% at kick-off, 0% now
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Grbalj 2–2 Mogren
- FTFULL TIME Grbalj 2–2 Mogren
- FTGrbalj 2–2 Mogren · Grbalj win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 13:30
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Grbalj a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.1.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grbalj win | 50% | 62% | −12 |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | +2 |
| Mogren win | 25% | 15% | +10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 51% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 47% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 76% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 31% | −3 |
| Grbalj or draw | 75% | 85% | −10 |
| Grbalj clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
| Mogren clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026Form · last six in Second League
GRBALJ
MOGREN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mladost Lješkopolje | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Jedinstvo | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 3 |  Zeta | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 4 |  Lovćen | 11 | −2 | 16 |
| 5 | Grbalj | 9 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 |  Iskra | 10 | −3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Kom | 9 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Rudar | 10 | −1 | 12 |
| 9 | Mogren | 10 | −1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Berane | 10 | −14 | 2 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.