Petrovac v Otrant-Olympic

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Petrovac win at 45%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Petrovac 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–27–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Petrovac v Otrant-Olympic
4. 10′We said Petrovac at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–17–10
5. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Petrovac 1–0 Otrant-Olympic
6. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Petrovac win: 45% at kick-off, 72% now
7. 11′Petrovac score on 11′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 72–18–10
8. 17′10′: T. Selimi on the scoresheet for Petrovac, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 73–18–10
9. 19′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Otrant-Olympic
10. 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 74–18–8
11. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Petrovac 1–1 Otrant-Olympic
12. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Petrovac win: 45% at kick-off, 39% now
13. 33′Otrant-Olympic find the net on 32′. 1–1. 1–1 · 39–35–26
14. 35′We said Petrovac at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–25–61
15. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Petrovac 1–2 Otrant-Olympic
16. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Petrovac win: 45% at kick-off, 14% now
17. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Otrant-Olympic win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Petrovac win 39%)
18. 36′A goal for Otrant-Olympic on 36′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 14–25–62
19. 37′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 13–25–62
20. 45′HALF-TIME Petrovac 1–2 Otrant-Olympic
21. 45′SECOND HALF Petrovac 1–2 Otrant-Olympic
22. 51′We said Petrovac at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–24–67
23. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Petrovac
24. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Petrovac win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
25. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Petrovac
26. 67′We said Petrovac at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–75
27. 68′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–4–96
28. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Petrovac 1–3 Otrant-Olympic
29. 69′Otrant-Olympic score on 68′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–3–96
30. 72′5 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 3–18–79
31. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Petrovac 2–3 Otrant-Olympic
32. 73′Petrovac find the net on 73′. 2–3. 2–3 · 3–18–80
33. 74′🟥 RED CARD · 74' Petrovac
34. 75′Petrovac are down to ten from 75′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–3 · 2–16–82
35. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Otrant-Olympic
36. 79′Petrovac pull one back on 72′ through V. Strikovic. 2–3. 2–3 · 1–13–85
37. 90′2–3 at the end. Our 45% on Petrovac misses, and the record keeps it. 2–3 · 0–0–100
38. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Petrovac
39. FTFULL TIME Petrovac 2–3 Otrant-Olympic
40. FTPetrovac 2–3 Otrant-Olympic · Petrovac win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.