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Otrant-Olympic v Sutjeska
Otrant-Olympic
SutjeskaFirst League · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sutjeska win at 41%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Sutjeska 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 33–27–41
- 1′KICK-OFF Otrant-Olympic v Sutjeska
- 9′We said Sutjeska at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 0–1 · 13–19–68
- 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Otrant-Olympic 0–1 Sutjeska
- 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Sutjeska win: 41% at kick-off, 68% now
- 10′Sutjeska score on 10′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 13–19–68
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Otrant-Olympic 1–1 Sutjeska
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Sutjeska win: 41% at kick-off, 38% now
- 25′Otrant-Olympic find the net on 24′. 1–1. 1–1 · 31–32–37
- 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Sutjeska win 36%)
- 45′SECOND HALF Otrant-Olympic 1–1 Sutjeska
- 46′HALF-TIME Otrant-Olympic 1–1 Sutjeska
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Sutjeska
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 25' Otrant-Olympic · On: L. Lambulic · Off: Caique Chagas
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Sutjeska win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
- 54′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–1 · 25–45–30
- 55′We said Sutjeska at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 25–45–29
- 66′We said Sutjeska at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 21–55–24
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Sutjeska win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
- 73′We said Sutjeska at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 17–64–19
- 79′We said Sutjeska at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 12–74–14
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Sutjeska win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
- 84′We said Sutjeska at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 7–84–8
- 90′We said Sutjeska at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Sutjeska
- 93′1–1 at the end. Our 41% on Sutjeska misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Otrant-Olympic 1–1 Sutjeska
- FTOtrant-Olympic 1–1 Sutjeska · Sutjeska win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Sutjeska are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Otrant-Olympic 33%, draw 26%, Sutjeska 41%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Otrant-Olympic win33%
Sutjeska win41%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 12
Match timeline
All events
Otrant-OlympicMIN
SutjeskaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Otrant-Olympic
Sutjeska
Last match: 19 Oct · First League (Montenegro)
Last match: 19 Oct · First League (Montenegro)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Sutjeska a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 40%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Otrant-Olympic win | 33% | 33% | 0 |
| Draw | 26% | 29% | −3 |
| Sutjeska win | 41% | 38% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 46% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 52% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 70% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 27% | +2 |
| Otrant-Olympic or draw | 59% | 62% | −3 |
| Otrant-Olympic clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Sutjeska clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in First League this season · since 4 Sept
OTRANT-OLYMPIC
SUTJESKA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otrant-Olympic | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 2 | Mornar | 12 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Buducnost Podgorica | 12 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | Sutjeska | 11 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Bokelj | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 6 | Dečić | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Mladost DG | 12 | −10 | 12 |
| 8 | Petrovac | 11 | −2 | 11 |
| 9 | Jezero | 12 | −7 | 11 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tivat | 11 | −7 | 8 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
Bokelj
Dečić
Mladost DG
Petrovac
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat