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Buducnost Podgorica v Sutjeska

Buducnost Podgorica

0–0Full time

Sutjeska

First League · SAT 10 OCT · Podgorica City Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:31

Buducnost Podgorica 0–0 Sutjeska BUDUCNOST PODGORICA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Buducnost Podgorica win~~44%

~~The market said~~33%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.807

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.732

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 7 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Buducnost Podgorica win at 44%.
1′KICK-OFF Buducnost Podgorica v Sutjeska
2′Little has changed for our model: Buducnost Podgorica 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–27–29
3′🟨 YELLOW · 3' Sutjeska
9′Little has changed for our model: Buducnost Podgorica 44% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–28–28
45′HALF-TIME Buducnost Podgorica 0–0 Sutjeska
46′SECOND HALF Buducnost Podgorica 0–0 Sutjeska
71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Buducnost Podgorica
90′🟥 RED CARD · 90' Buducnost Podgorica
FTFULL TIME Buducnost Podgorica 0–0 Sutjeska
FTBuducnost Podgorica 0–0 Sutjeska · Buducnost Podgorica win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Buducnost Podgorica win44%

Draw27%

Sutjeska win29%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 18:00

Venue · Podgorica City Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Buducnost Podgorica

Formation not confirmed

21 F. Domazetovic

5 I. Serikov

6 L. Popovic

13 N. Ajkovic

19 A. Causevic

20 M. Raspopovic

26 P. Vujovic

32 A. Pupovic

44 D. Vukanic

77 I. Bojovic

99 M. Jovanovic

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · M. Mijatovic

9 · N. Kovinic

14 · M. Rakcevic

15 · M. Milovic

16 · Z. Mugosa

17 · M. Vusurovic

55 · A. Orahovac

70 · C. Ondong-Mba

87 · M. Scepanovic

Sutjeska

Formation not confirmed

1 V. Giljen

2 A. Golubovic

4 M. Vracar

6 D. Hocko

7 A. Boljevic

10 B. Toskovic

11 V. Cavor

15 B. Kopitovic

21 D. Cetkovic

72 A. Babic

77 M. Simun

Coach · Milorad Pekovic

Substitutes

12 · T. Djurovic

9 · P. Anicic

19 · A. Scekic

20 · J. Cadjenovic

25 · M. Djukanovic

30 · A. Kecojevic

44 · R. Dedic

55 · S. Babic

99 · M. Mrvaljevic

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Buducnost Podgorica

Formation not confirmed

21 F. Domazetovic

5 I. Serikov

6 L. Popovic

13 N. Ajkovic

19 A. Causevic

20 M. Raspopovic

26 P. Vujovic

32 A. Pupovic

44 D. Vukanic

77 I. Bojovic

99 M. Jovanovic

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · M. Mijatovic

9 · N. Kovinic

14 · M. Rakcevic

15 · M. Milovic

16 · Z. Mugosa

17 · M. Vusurovic

55 · A. Orahovac

70 · C. Ondong-Mba

87 · M. Scepanovic

Sutjeska

Formation not confirmed

1 V. Giljen

2 A. Golubovic

4 M. Vracar

6 D. Hocko

7 A. Boljevic

10 B. Toskovic

11 V. Cavor

15 B. Kopitovic

21 D. Cetkovic

72 A. Babic

77 M. Simun

Coach · Milorad Pekovic

Substitutes

12 · T. Djurovic

9 · P. Anicic

19 · A. Scekic

20 · J. Cadjenovic

25 · M. Djukanovic

30 · A. Kecojevic

44 · R. Dedic

55 · S. Babic

99 · M. Mrvaljevic

Our number · buducnost podgorica winPublished 10 Oct 17:54

44% The market33%

Us44%

~~Market~~33%

We make Buducnost Podgorica a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · buducnost podgorica win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 33% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Buducnost Podgorica win	44%	33%	+11
Draw	27%	30%	−3
Sutjeska win	29%	37%	−8
Over 2.5 goals	46%	42%	+4
Both teams to score	50%	49%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	72%	67%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	24%	22%	+3
Buducnost Podgorica or draw	71%	63%	+8
Buducnost Podgorica clean sheet	34%	–	–
Sutjeska clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%

0123450 8.7 8.5 4.8 1 11.2 12.8 6.8 2.5 2 8.2 8.8 4.8 3 3.9 4.2 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Buducnost Podgorica down, Sutjeska across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 963 First League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

First League matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.3% of games this season, across 47 played.

Head to head

21 previous meetings, 2.57 goals a meeting; 8 of 21 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Buducnost Podgorica at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Sutjeska away: 0.67 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Buducnost Podgorica, 1.09 for Sutjeska. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

21 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.57

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 21

~~Both scored~~11 of 21

~~Last meetings~~SUT 0–1 BUD · SUT 2–0 BUD · BUD 2–1 SUT · SUT 0–2 BUD

Form · last six in First League

BUDUCNOST PODGORICA

LDLWWW1–2 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 4–1

SUTJESKA

DWDWWW0–0 · 5–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Otrant-Olympic	10	+5	17
2	Dečić	9	+3	15
3	Bokelj	9	+3	15
4	Buducnost Podgorica	9	+4	14
5	Sutjeska	9	+4	14
6	Mornar	10	+2	14
7	Mladost DG	10	−7	11
8	Jezero	10	−6	10
9	Petrovac	9	−2	8
10	Arsenal Tivat	9	−6	7