Mladost DG v Iskra
Mladost DGIskraCup · WED 14 OCT · DG Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off
Mladost DG win60%Iskra win16%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 13:00
VenueDG Arena
Match timeline
All events
Mladost DGMINIskraEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Mladost DG
Iskra
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Mladost DG a 60% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 62%, 60% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost DG win | 60% | 53% | +8 |
| Draw | 23% | 26% | −3 |
| Iskra win | 16% | 21% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 44% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 47% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 70% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 23% | +4 |
| Mladost DG or draw | 84% | 79% | +5 |
| Mladost DG clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
| Iskra clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2020No meetings between these two in Cup since 2020. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in Cup
MLADOST DG
ISKRA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jezero | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |  Mornar | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Arsenal Tivat | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Grbalj | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 |  Otrant-Olympic | 1 | −3 | 0 |
| 6 |  Lovćen | 1 | −4 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.