Bokelj v Buducnost Podgorica
BokeljBuducnost PodgoricaCup · WED 14 OCT · Stadion pod Vrmcem
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 1–1, the score after 90 minutes. Buducnost Podgorica won 2–4 on penalties.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Buducnost Podgorica win at 43%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Buducnost Podgorica 43% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 28–29–44
- 1′KICK-OFF Bokelj v Buducnost Podgorica
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Bokelj 1–0 Buducnost Podgorica
- 39′Bokelj find the net on 39′. 1–0. 1–0 · 64–25–11
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Buducnost Podgorica win: 43% at kick-off, 11% now
- 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Bokelj win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Buducnost Podgorica win 11%)
- 40′We said Buducnost Podgorica at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 1–0 · 65–25–11
- 43′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 66–24–10
- 45′We said Buducnost Podgorica at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 66–24–9
- 45′SECOND HALF Bokelj 1–0 Buducnost Podgorica
- 61′A goal for Buducnost Podgorica on 62′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 19–55–26
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Bokelj 1–1 Buducnost Podgorica
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Buducnost Podgorica win: 43% at kick-off, 26% now
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Bokelj win 19%)
- 64′We said Buducnost Podgorica at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 17–58–25
- 66′We said Buducnost Podgorica at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 17–60–23
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Buducnost Podgorica win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
- 72′We said Buducnost Podgorica at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 14–67–19
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Buducnost Podgorica win: 43% at kick-off, 12% now
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Buducnost Podgorica win: 43% at kick-off, 4% now
- 90′PENALTY MISSED · 101' Bokelj
- 90′PENALTY MISSED · 103' Bokelj
- 91′We said Buducnost Podgorica at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 1–1 · 3–94–3
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 91' Buducnost Podgorica win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN Buducnost Podgorica win: 43% at kick-off, 0% now
- FTFULL TIME Bokelj 1–1 Buducnost Podgorica
- FTBokelj 1–1 Buducnost Podgorica after 90 minutes, as graded · Buducnost Podgorica win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 13:28 · locked at kick-off
Bokelj win27%Buducnost Podgorica win43%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 14:00
VenueStadion pod Vrmcem
Match timeline
All events
BokeljMINBuducnost PodgoricaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Buducnost Podgorica a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 44%, 43% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bokelj win | 27% | 29% | −2 |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | −1 |
| Buducnost Podgorica win | 43% | 40% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 38% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 45% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 63% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 19% | 0 |
| Bokelj or draw | 57% | 60% | −3 |
| Bokelj clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Buducnost Podgorica clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2024Form · last six in Cup
BOKELJ
BUDUCNOST PODGORICA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jezero | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |  Mornar | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Arsenal Tivat | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Grbalj | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 |  Otrant-Olympic | 1 | −3 | 0 |
| 6 |  Lovćen | 1 | −4 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.